Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39035162›Full record

SynthesisPeerJ2024

Performance of risk prediction models for diabetic foot ulcer: a meta-analysis.

Panpan Guo, Yujie Tu, Ruiyan Liu, Zihui Gao, Mengyu Du, Yu Fu, Ying Wang, Shuxun Yan, Xin Shang

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PeerJ, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
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  9. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Panpan GuoDepartment of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Yujie TuThe 154th Hospital, Xinyang, Henan, China.
Ruiyan LiuDepartment of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Zihui GaoSchool of First Clinical, Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Mengyu DuSchool of First Clinical, Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Yu FuDepartment of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Ying WangDepartment of Geriatrics, First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Shuxun YanDepartment of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Xin ShangDepartment of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.

Funding

Chinese Medicine Top Talent ProjectHenan Traditional Chinese Medicine Inheritance and Innovation Talent ProjectLeader of the Young and Middle aged Discipline of Henan Provincial Health CommissionSpecial Research Project of Traditional Chinese Medicine in Henan Province
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The number of prediction models for diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) risk is increasing, but their methodological quality and clinical applicability are uncertain. We conducted a systematic review to assess their performance. Methods: We searched PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Embase databases up to 10 February 2024 and extracted relevant information from selected prediction models. The Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST) checklist was used to assess bias risk and applicability. All statistical analyses were conducted in Stata 14.0. Results: Initially, 13,562 studies were retrieved, leading to the inclusion of five development and five validation models from eight studies. DFU incidence ranged from 6% to 16.8%, with age and hemoglobin A1C (HbA1c) commonly used as predictive factors. All included studies had a high risk of bias, mainly due to disparities in population characteristics and methodology. In the meta-analysis, we observed area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.78 (95% CI [0.69-0.89]) for development models and 0.84 (95% CI [0.79-0.90]) for validation models. Conclusion: DFU risk prediction models show good overall accuracy, but there is a risk of bias. Adherence to the PROBAST checklist is crucial for improving their clinical applicability.

Indexed as

Diabetic FootGlycated HemoglobinHumansModels, StatisticalRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsGlycated HemoglobinDiabetic foot ulcerMeta-analysisPerformancePrediction model

Identifiers

PMID39035162
PMCPMC11260075

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.