Association of physician malpractice claims rates with admissions for low-risk chest pain.

Background: Chest pain accounts for 5% of all emergency department visits and accounts for the highest malpractice payout against emergency physicians. To clarify the impact of defensive medicine, we assessed whether admission rates of low-risk chest pain patients are associated with malpractice claims rates. Methods: A cross-sectional time-series analysis of state-year level malpractice claims rates, admission rates for low-risk chest pain (LRCP; requiring ED physician discretion), and admission rates for acute myocardial infarction (AMI; requiring minimal physician judgment for admission, used as a control) from 2008 to 2017 was performed. Admission rates were derived from Optum's deidentified Clinformatics Data Mart Database. LRCP visits were defined by primary ICD-9 or ICD-10 codes of 786.5, R07.9, or R07.89; length of stay of 2 or fewer days; and no previous major cardiac diagnosis and AMI visits with ICD-9 or ICD-10 codes 410, I21.3, or I121.9. Malpractice claims rates (MPCRs) were derived from the National Practitioner Database (NPD). The association between state-year level MPCR and admission rates for LRCP and AMI was estimated using state fixed-effects models. Standardized costs were inflation adjusted and are expressed in US dollar rate as of 2019. Results: There were 40,482,813 ED visits during the 10-year study period, of which 2,275,757 (5.6%) were for chest pain, and 1,163,881 met LRCP criteria. Mean age of LRCP patients was 67.8 years, 60.9% were female, and 16.6% were hospitalized, at a mean cost of $17,120. During the same period, 75,266 (0.2%) visits were for AMI, with 87% admitted. The MPCR by state-year varied widely, from 2.6 to 8.6 claims per 100,000 population. A state fixed-effects model showed that an additional physician malpractice claim per 100,000 population was associated with a 3.66% (95% CI 2.02%-5.30%) increase in the admission rate of LRCP. An analogous model showed no association between MPCR and admission rates for AMI (-1.52%, 95% CI -4.06% to 1.02%). Conclusion: Higher MPCRs are associated with increased admission rates for LRCP, at substantial cost, which may be attributable to defensive medicine in the ED.