Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39032531›Full record

ArticlePreventive medicine2024

Clustering of behavioral economic biases in decision-making and risk for cigarette smoking and other substance use in women and men.

Eric A Thrailkill, Michael DeSarno, Stephen T Higgins

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Preventive medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Eric A ThrailkillVermont Center on Behavior and Health, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, USA; Department of Psychological Science, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, USA; Department of Psychiatry, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, USA. Electronic address: eric.thrailkill@uvm.edu.
Michael DeSarnoVermont Center on Behavior and Health, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, USA; Department of Biomedical Statistics, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, USA.
Stephen T HigginsVermont Center on Behavior and Health, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, USA; Department of Psychological Science, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, USA; Department of Psychiatry, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, USA.

Funding

University of Vermont Tobacco Center of Regulatory ScienceU54DA036114 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT & ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI HIGGINS, STEPHEN T · 2018 to 2022
$19.4M
Vermont Center on Tobacco Regulatory ScienceP50DA036114 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT & ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI HIGGINS, STEPHEN T · 2013 to 2017
$19.1M
Vermont Center on Behavior and HealthP30GM149331 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT & ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI Stephen T Higgins · 2023 to 2026
$5.6M
Training in Translational Methods for Assessing Behavior Change and Relapse MechanismsK01DA044456 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT & ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI THRAILKILL, ERIC ALLEN · 2018 to 2022
$621k
NIDA NIH HHS K01 DA044456NIDA NIH HHS P50 DA036114NIDA NIH HHS U54 DA036114NIGMS NIH HHS P30 GM149331
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLow loss aversion (LA) and high delay discounting (DD) are behavioral-economic decision-making biases that independently predict cigarette smoking and other risky substance use. Here we examine (1) whether low-LA and high-DD co-occur, (2) does co-occurrence increase the odds of current smoking and other substance use compared to only low-LA, high-DD, or neither; and (3) potential gender differences in these associations.

methodData are from five studies with U.S. adults who currently smoked or never-smoked cigarettes recruited using online convenience sampling matching on gender and education. Participants completed identical sociodemographic, substance use (cigarette, other drugs, alcohol), and LA (hypothetical 50-50 gambles) and DD (monetary-choice questionnaire) measures. LA and DD scores were dichotomized as low and high using Receiver-Operating-Characteristic Curve logistic regression.

resultsLA and DD each independently predicted substance use and with few exceptions were not influenced by gender. Low-LA compared to high-LA predicted two-fold greater odds of co-occurring high-DD (AOR = 2.120, 95%CI:1.749-2.571, p < .0001). Similarly, high-DD compared to low DD predicted two-fold greater odds of low-LA (AOR = 2.118, 95%CI:1.747-2.568, p < .0001). Among those with co-occurring low-LA and high-DD, odds of substance use were 5-10 times greater than those exhibiting neither, and 2-3 times greater than those exhibiting only low-LA or high-DD.

conclusionsLow-LA and high-DD cluster in women and men such that exhibiting one of these decision-making biases doubles the odds of exhibiting the other. These results demonstrate reliable clustering of low-LA and high-DD and a striking increase in risk for substance use relative to having only one or neither decision-making bias.

Indexed as

Cigarette SmokingDecision MakingSubstance-Related DisordersAdultDelay DiscountingEconomics, BehavioralFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk-TakingSex FactorsSurveys and QuestionnairesUnited StatesBehavioral economicsCigarette smokingDecision-makingDelay discountingGenderLoss aversionRisk factorsSubstance use

Identifiers

PMID39032531
PMCPMC11339714

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.