Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39030536›Full record

Observational studyBMC pulmonary medicine2024

Identification of risk factors for acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis based on baseline high-resolution computed tomography: a prospective observational study.

Zhaojun Wang, Zhengping Zhang, Li Zhu, Jia Hou, Hongyan Fu, Xiaojun Yang, Faxuan Wang, Juan Chen

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC pulmonary medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Comorbidities in clinical cohorts of patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. A systematic review of the role of quantitative CT in the prognostication and disease monitoring of interstitial lung disease.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2025
    Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Acute exacerbation in fibrotic interstitial lung disease: an international working group report.American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Zhaojun Wang *Department of Key Laboratory of Ningxia Stem Cell and Regenerative Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, Ningxia, 750004, China.
Zhengping Zhang *Department of Radiology, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, China.
Li ZhuDepartment of Radiology, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, China.
Jia HouDepartment of Key Laboratory of Ningxia Stem Cell and Regenerative Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, Ningxia, 750004, China.
Hongyan FuDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, Ningxia, 750004, China.
Xiaojun YangDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, China.
Faxuan WangSchool of Public Health and Management, Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, China.
Juan ChenDepartment of Key Laboratory of Ningxia Stem Cell and Regenerative Medicine, Institute of Medical Sciences, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, Ningxia, 750004, China. chenjuan7419@163.com.

Funding

Key research and development program of Ningxia hui autonomous 2018BEG03035; 2023BEG02021National Natural Science Foundation of China 81760004; 81360008; 82060013Natural Science Foundation of Ningxia hui autonomous 2020AAC02001; 2020AAC03404
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study aimed to investigate risk factors for acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (AE-IPF) based on baseline high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT).

methodsThis prospective observational study enrolled patients with IPF treated at the General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University between January 2019 and January 2021. HRCT-derived quantitative parameters at baseline were analyzed.

resultsA total of 102 patients [92 (90.2%) males with a mean age of 67 years] with IPF were included, with a median follow-up of 32 (24-40.5) months. AE occurred in 30 (29.4%) IPF patients. Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified Doppler transthoracic echocardiography suggestive of pulmonary hypertension (PH) (13.43; 95% CI: 4.18-41.09; P < 0.001), honeycombing (OR 1.08; 95% CI: 1.02-1.14; P = 0.013), and whole lung volume (OR 0.99; 95% CI: 0.99-1.00; P = 0.037) as independent risk factors for AE-IPF. The combination of PH, honeycombing, whole lung volume, and the percentage of predicted forced vital capacity (FVC% pred) showed a high area under the curve from receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.888, with a sensitivity of 90% and specificity of 78%.

conclusionsThis study emphasizes that quantitative CT parameters (honeycombing, whole lung volume) may serve as risk factors for AE-IPF. The combination of honeycombing, whole lung volume, FVC% pred, and PH may aid in predicting AE-IPF.

Indexed as

Idiopathic Pulmonary FibrosisTomography, X-Ray ComputedAgedDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansHypertension, PulmonaryLogistic ModelsLungMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk FactorsROC CurveAcute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosisCT-derived quantitative parametersProspective observational studyRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID39030536
PMCPMC11264818

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.