Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39030306›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

Influence of environmental, geographic, socio-demographic, and epidemiological factors on presence of malaria at the community level in two continents.

Oswaldo C Villena, Ali Arab, Catherine A Lippi, Sadie J Ryan, Leah R Johnson

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
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  11. Plastic responses ofBiology letters · 2025
    Article
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  15. Malaria.The New England journal of medicine · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Oswaldo C VillenaThe Earth Commons Institute, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, 20057, USA. oswaldo.villena@georgetown.edu.
Ali ArabDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, 20057, USA.
Catherine A LippiDepartment of Geography, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32611, USA.
Sadie J RyanDepartment of Geography, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32611, USA.
Leah R JohnsonDepartment of Statistics, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, 24061, USA.

Funding

NSF 2016265NSF DMS/DEB 1750113
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The interactions of environmental, geographic, socio-demographic, and epidemiological factors in shaping mosquito-borne disease transmission dynamics are complex and changeable, influencing the abundance and distribution of vectors and the pathogens they transmit. In this study, 27 years of cross-sectional malaria survey data (1990-2017) were used to examine the effects of these factors on Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax malaria presence at the community level in Africa and Asia. Monthly long-term, open-source data for each factor were compiled and analyzed using generalized linear models and classification and regression trees. Both temperature and precipitation exhibited unimodal relationships with malaria, with a positive effect up to a point after which a negative effect was observed as temperature and precipitation increased. Overall decline in malaria from 2000 to 2012 was well captured by the models, as was the resurgence after that. The models also indicated higher malaria in regions with lower economic and development indicators. Malaria is driven by a combination of environmental, geographic, socioeconomic, and epidemiological factors, and in this study, we demonstrated two approaches to capturing this complexity of drivers within models. Identifying these key drivers, and describing their associations with malaria, provides key information to inform planning and prevention strategies and interventions to reduce malaria burden.

Indexed as

Malaria, FalciparumAfricaAnimalsAsiaCross-Sectional StudiesEnvironmentGeographyHumansMalariaMalaria, VivaxMosquito VectorsPlasmodium falciparumPlasmodium vivaxSocioeconomic FactorsTemperatureAfricaAsiaBioclimatic variablesMalariaMalaria survey dataPlasmodium falciparumPlasmodium vivaxTemperatureVector-borne diseases

Identifiers

PMID39030306
PMCPMC11271557

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.