Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39025815›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2024

Predicting postacute phase anaemia after aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage: nomogram development and validation.

Fan Wu, Huai Chen, Zongchi Liu, Di Ye, Xiaoyi Wang, Lihui Zhou, Zihan Xu, Duanbu Wang, Jian Shen, Renya Zhan and 1 more

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Fan Wu *Neurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6671-5282
Huai Chen *Hangzhou Red Cross Hospital, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Zongchi Liu *Neurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China.
Di YeNeurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China.
Xiaoyi WangNeurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China.
Lihui ZhouNeurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China.
Zihan XuNeurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China.
Duanbu WangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Sanmen People's Hospital, Sanmen, China.
Jian ShenNeurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China.
Renya ZhanNeurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0619-6257
Yu ZhuNeurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China 1316019@zju.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAnaemia is a severe and common complication in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH). Early intervention for at-risk patients before anaemia occurs is indicated as potentially beneficial, but no validated method synthesises patients' complicated clinical features into an instrument. The purpose of the current study was to develop and externally validate a nomogram that predicted postacute phase anaemia after aSAH.

methodsWe developed a novel nomogram for aSAH patients to predict postacute phase anaemia (3 days after occurrence of aSAH, prior to discharge) on the basis of demographic information, imaging, type of treatment, aneurysm features, blood tests and clinical characteristics. We designed the model from a development cohort and tested the nomogram in external and prospective validation cohorts. We included 456 aSAH patients from The First Affiliated Hospital for the development, 220 from Sanmen People's Hospital for external validation and a prospective validation cohort that included 13 patients from Hangzhou Red Cross Hospital. We assessed the performance of the nomogram via concordance statistics and evaluated the calibration of predicted anaemia outcome with observed anaemia occurrence.

resultsVariables included in the nomogram were age, treatment method (open surgery or endovascular therapy), baseline haemoglobin level, fasting blood glucose level, systemic inflammatory response syndrome score on admission, Glasgow Coma Scale score, aneurysm size, prothrombin time and heart rate. In the validation cohort, the model for prediction of postacute phase anaemia had a c-statistic of 0.910, with satisfactory calibration (judged by eye) for the predicted and reported anaemia outcome. Among forward-looking forecasts, our predictive model achieved an 84% success rate, which showed that it has some clinical practicability.

conclusionsThe developed and validated nomogram can be used to calculate individualised anaemia risk and has the potential to serve as a practical tool for clinicians in devising improved treatment strategies for aSAH.

Indexed as

AnemiaNomogramsSubarachnoid HemorrhageAdultAgedFemaleHumansIntracranial AneurysmMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesChange managementClinical Decision-MakingNursing CareRisk managementStroke

Identifiers

PMID39025815
PMCPMC11261674

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.