Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39022122›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in neuroscience2024

NfL concentration in CSF is a quantitative marker of the rate of neurodegeneration in aging and Huntington's disease: a semi-mechanistic model-based analysis.

Matthias Machacek, Elena Garcia-Montoya, Peter McColgan, Patricia Sanwald-Ducray, Norman Alan Mazer

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Article in Frontiers in neuroscience, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Fluid and Imaging Biomarkers in Huntington's Disease.Current neurology and neuroscience reports · 2026
    Review
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  3. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Matthias MachacekLYO-X AG, Basel, Switzerland.
Elena Garcia-MontoyaLYO-X AG, Basel, Switzerland.
Peter McColganRoche Products Limited, Welwyn Garden City, United Kingdom.
Patricia Sanwald-DucrayRoche Pharmaceutical Research and Early Development, Roche Innovation Center Basel, F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.
Norman Alan MazerRoche Pharmaceutical Research and Early Development, Roche Innovation Center Basel, F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The concentrations of neurofilament light chain (NfL) in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and plasma have become key biomarkers of many neurodegenerative diseases, including Huntington's Disease (HD). However, the relationship between the dynamics of NfL concentrations in CSF and the time-course of neurodegeneration (whole brain atrophy) has not yet been described in a quantitative and mechanistic manner. Here, we present a novel semi-mechanistic model, which postulates that the amount of NfL entering the CSF corresponds to the amount of NfL released from damaged neurons, whose degeneration results in a decrease in brain volume. In mathematical terms, the model expresses the NfL concentration in CSF in terms of the NfL concentration in brain tissue, the rate of change of whole brain volume and the CSF flow rate. To test our model, we used a non-linear mixed effects approach to analyze NfL and brain volume data from the HD-CSF study, a 24-month prospective study of individuals with premanifest HD, manifest HD and healthy controls. The time-course of whole brain volume, obtained from MRI, was represented empirically by a 2nd order polynomial, from which its rate of change was computed. CSF flow rates in healthy and HD populations were taken from recent literature data. By estimating the NfL concentration in brain tissue, the model successfully described the time-course of the NfL concentration in CSF in both HD subjects and healthy controls. Furthermore, the model-derived estimate of NfL concentration in brain agreed well with recent direct experimental measurements. The consistency of our model with the NfL and brain volume data suggests that the NfL concentration in CSF reflects the rate, rather than the extent, of neurodegeneration and that the increase in NfL concentration over time is a measure of the accelerating rate of neurodegeneration associated with aging and HD. For HD subjects, the degree of acceleration was found to increase markedly with the number of CAG repeats on their HTT gene. The application of our semi-mechanistic NfL model to other neurodegenerative diseases is discussed.

Indexed as

atrophybiomarkercerebrospinal fluidHuntington's diseasemathematicalmodelneurodegenerationneurofilament light chain

Identifiers

PMID39022122
PMCPMC11253127

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.