Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39021447›Full record

ArticleIJTLD open2024

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on TB notifications in Ukraine in 2020.

A N Shapiro, M Dolynska, S S Chiang, N Rybak, V Petrenko, C R Horsburgh, J Kobe, I Terleieva, O Sakalska, H E Jenkins

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in IJTLD open, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

A N ShapiroDepartment of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
M DolynskaNGO Infection Control Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine.
S S ChiangDepartment of Pediatrics, Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
N RybakDepartment of Medicine, Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
V PetrenkoBogomolets National Medical University, Kyiv, Ukraine.
C R HorsburghDepartments of Global Health, Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Medicine, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA.
J KobeDepartment of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
I TerleievaPublic Health Center of the Ministry of Health, Kyiv City, Ukraine.
O SakalskaPublic Health Center of the Ministry of Health, Kyiv City, Ukraine.
H E JenkinsDepartment of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.

Funding

Tracking tuberculosis patients in Ukraine to understand pathways through care and the impact of geographic movementsR03AI164123 · NIAID · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI JENKINS, HELEN E. · 2021 to 2022
$165k
NIAID NIH HHS R03 AI164123
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe assessed the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on TB notifications in Ukraine, stratified by multiple subgroups. DESIGN/

methodsWe analyzed data from Ukraine's National TB Program from January 2015 to December 2020 using interrupted time series models. We compared observed cases to counterfactual estimated cases had the pandemic not occurred and estimated trends through December 2020 nationally and by various demographics. We compared the proportions of individuals who underwent drug susceptibility testing (DST) in February 2020 and April 2020 to assess the pandemic impact on drug resistance testing.

resultsIn April 2020, there were 39% (95% CI 36-42) fewer TB notifications than the estimated counterfactual (3,060 estimated; 95% CI 2,918-3,202; 1,872 observed). We observed a greater decrease in notifications among refugees/migrants compared with non-refugees/migrants (64%, 95% CI 60-67 vs. 39%, 95% CI 36-42), and individuals aged <15 years compared with those aged ≥15 years (60%, 95% CI 57-64 vs. 38%, 95% CI 36-41). We also observed a decrease in the proportion of individuals receiving DST for several drugs.

conclusionsThese findings underscore the challenges to TB prevention and care during disruption and may be generalizable to the current wartime situation, especially considering the substantial increase in refugees within and leaving Ukraine.

Indexed as

control programdrug resistanceepidemiologymodellingpreventiontuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID39021447
PMCPMC11249659

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.