Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39016441›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association2024

The Bayesian approach for real-world implementation of plasma p-tau217 in tertiary care memory clinics in Thailand.

Poosanu Thanapornsangsuth, Kittithatch Booncharoen, Jedsada Khieukhajee, Watayuth Luechaipanit, Thanaporn Haethaisong, Adipa Chongsuksantikul, Thirawat Supharatpariyakorn, Chaipat Chunharas, Yuttachai Likitjaroen, Thiravat Hemachudha

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Poosanu ThanapornsangsuthThai Red Cross Emerging Infectious Diseases Health Science Centre, World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Research and Training on Viral Zoonoses, King Chulalongkorn Memorial Hospital The Thai Red Cross Society, Bangkok, Thailand.ORCID 0000-0002-1317-9404
Kittithatch BooncharoenMemory Clinic, King Chulalongkorn Memorial Hospital, The Thai Red Cross Society, Bangkok, Thailand.
Jedsada KhieukhajeeDepartment of Neurology, Neurological Institute of Thailand, Bangkok, Thailand.
Watayuth LuechaipanitThai Red Cross Emerging Infectious Diseases Health Science Centre, World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Research and Training on Viral Zoonoses, King Chulalongkorn Memorial Hospital The Thai Red Cross Society, Bangkok, Thailand.
Thanaporn HaethaisongThai Red Cross Emerging Infectious Diseases Health Science Centre, World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Research and Training on Viral Zoonoses, King Chulalongkorn Memorial Hospital The Thai Red Cross Society, Bangkok, Thailand.
Adipa ChongsuksantikulThai Red Cross Emerging Infectious Diseases Health Science Centre, World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Research and Training on Viral Zoonoses, King Chulalongkorn Memorial Hospital The Thai Red Cross Society, Bangkok, Thailand.
Thirawat SupharatpariyakornThai Red Cross Emerging Infectious Diseases Health Science Centre, World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Research and Training on Viral Zoonoses, King Chulalongkorn Memorial Hospital The Thai Red Cross Society, Bangkok, Thailand.
Chaipat ChunharasDivision of Neurology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Yuttachai LikitjaroenDivision of Neurology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Thiravat HemachudhaDivision of Neurology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.

Funding

Health Systems Research Institute 64-027Health Systems Research Institute 65-034Health Systems Research Institute 66-121
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionPlasma phosphorylated tau (p-tau)217 is a promising biomarker for Alzheimer's disease (AD) diagnosis, but its clinical implementation remains challenging. We propose a strategy based on Bayes' theorem and test it in real-life memory clinics.

methodsMemory clinic patients were evaluated by neurocognitive specialists for prespecified diagnosis and subsequently underwent blood collection for p-tau217, cerebrospinal fluid, or amyloid positron emission tomography. Using cross-validation, the Bayesian approach (pretest probability × individualized likelihood ratio) was compared to other models for AD diagnosis.

resultsThe Bayesian strategy demonstrated an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.98 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.96-1.0), significantly outperforming multivariable logistic regression (p-tau217, age, apolipoprotein E; AUC 0.95, p = 0.024) and p-tau217 alone (AUC = 0.94, p = 0.007). When applying the two-threshold approach, the Bayesian strategy yielded an accuracy of 0.94 (95% CI: 0.88-1.0) without requiring confirmatory tests in 62.9% of the iterations. DISCUSSION: The Bayesian strategy offers an effective and flexible approach to address the limitations of plasma p-tau217 in clinical practice. HIGHLIGHTS: Incorporating pretest probability into the interpretation of plasma phosphorylated tau (p-tau)217 improves the diagnostic performance significantly. The strategy could obviate the need for confirmatory testing in most of the patients. Plasma p-tau217 proves useful as a biomarker for Alzheimer's disease in low- and middle-income country such as Thailand.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseBayes TheoremBiomarkerstau ProteinsAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPhosphorylationPositron-Emission TomographyTertiary Health CareThailandBiomarkerstau ProteinsAlzheimer's diseaseBayes’ theoremdiagnosislow–middle income countriesplasma biomarkersplasma phosphorylated tau

Identifiers

PMID39016441
PMCPMC11497765

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.