Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39008671›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024

The increasingly dominant role of climate change on length of day variations.

Mostafa Kiani Shahvandi, Surendra Adhikari, Mathieu Dumberry, Siddhartha Mishra, Benedikt Soja

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. In-feedFrontiers in physiology · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Predictions of southern migration timing in coastal sharks under future ocean warming.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Mostafa Kiani ShahvandiInstitute of Geodesy and Photogrammetry, ETH Zurich, 8093 Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-5705-7014
Surendra AdhikariJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 91011.ORCID 0000-0003-1021-6860
Mathieu DumberryDepartment of Physics, University of Alberta, T6G 2E1 Edmonton, AB Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-5677-1582
Siddhartha MishraSeminar for Applied Mathematics, Department of Mathematics, ETH AI Center, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland.
Benedikt SojaInstitute of Geodesy and Photogrammetry, ETH Zurich, 8093 Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-7010-2147

Funding

Discovery Grant from NSERC/CRSNG of Canada RGPIN-2018-05796NASA Sea-Level Change Team (N-SLCT), Earth Surface and Interior (ESI) Focus Area, and the Cryospheric Science Program N-SLCT ESI CSP
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The melting of ice sheets and global glaciers results in sea-level rise, a pole-to-equator mass transport increasing Earth's oblateness and resulting in an increase in the length of day (LOD). Here, we use observations and reconstructions of mass variations at the Earth's surface since 1900 to show that the climate-induced LOD trend hovered between 0.3 and 1.0 ms/cy in the 20th century, but has accelerated to 1.33 [Formula: see text] 0.03 ms/cy since 2000. We further show that surface mass transport fully explains the accelerating trend in the Earth oblateness observed in the past three decades. We derive an independent measure of the decreasing LOD trend induced by Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) of [Formula: see text]0.80 [Formula: see text] 0.10 ms/cy, which provides a constraint for the mantle viscosity. The sum of this GIA rate and lunar tidal friction fully explains the secular LOD trend that is inferred from the eclipse record in the past three millennia prior to the onset of contemporary climate change. Projections of future climate warming under high emission scenarios suggest that the climate-induced LOD rate may reach 2.62 [Formula: see text] 0.79 ms/cy by 2100, overtaking lunar tidal friction as the single most important contributor to the long-term LOD variations.

Indexed as

climate changeglacial isostatic adjustmentlength of daylunar tidal friction

Identifiers

PMID39008671
PMCPMC11287281

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.