Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39003389›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

Evaluating the predictive efficacy of first trimester biochemical markers (PAPP-A, fβ-hCG) in forecasting preterm delivery incidences.

G Swiercz, A Zmelonek-Znamirowska, K Szwabowicz, J Armanska, K Detka, M Mlodawska, J Mlodawski

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Fetal Heart Rate at 12 Weeks' Gestation and the Risk of Preterm Birth: A Prospective Validation Study.Journal of ultrasound in medicine : official journal of the American Institute of Ultrasound in Medicine · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Low PAPP-A Levels and Growth in Twin Pregnancies.Life (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026
    Article
  10. Article
  11. PAPPA's role in female reproduction.Reproduction (Cambridge, England) · 2025
    Review
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

G SwierczJan Kochanowski University, Kielce, Poland.
A Zmelonek-ZnamirowskaJan Kochanowski University, Kielce, Poland.
K SzwabowiczClinic of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Provincial Combined Hospital in Kielce, Kielce, Poland.
J ArmanskaClinic of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Provincial Combined Hospital in Kielce, Kielce, Poland.
K DetkaClinic of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Provincial Combined Hospital in Kielce, Kielce, Poland.
M MlodawskaJan Kochanowski University, Kielce, Poland.
J MlodawskiJan Kochanowski University, Kielce, Poland. jakub.mlodawski@ujk.edu.pl.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In this investigation, we explored the correlation between first-trimester biochemical markers and the incidence of preterm birth (PTB), irrespective of the cause, spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB), and preterm premature rupture of membranes (pPROM) within a cohort comprising 1164 patients. It was discovered that diminished levels of Pregnancy-Associated Plasma Protein-A (PAPP-A) between 11 and 13 + 6 weeks of gestation significantly contributed to the risk of preterm deliveries both before 35 and 37 weeks, as well as to pPROM instances. Furthermore, women experiencing sPTB before the 37th week of gestation also exhibited lower concentrations of PAPP-A. Moreover, reduced first-trimester concentrations of free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (fb-HCG) were identified as a risk factor for deliveries preceding 37 weeks, pPROM, and sPTB before 35 weeks of gestation. Despite these correlations, the area under the curve for these biochemical markers did not surpass 0.7, indicating their limited diagnostic potential. The most significant discriminatory capability was noted for PAPP-A levels, with a threshold of < 0.71 multiples of the median (MoM) predicting PTB before 37 weeks, yielding an odds ratio of 3.11 (95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.97-4.92). For sPTB, the greatest discriminatory potential was observed for PAPP-A < 0.688, providing an OR of 2.66 (95% CI 1.51-4.66). The cut-off points corresponded to accuracies of 76.05% and 79.1%, respectively. In regression analyses, the combined predictive models exhibited low explanatory power with R

Indexed as

BiomarkersChorionic Gonadotropin, beta Subunit, HumanPregnancy-Associated Plasma Protein-APregnancy Trimester, FirstPremature BirthAdultFemaleHumansIncidencePregnancyPremature Rupture of Fetal MembranesRisk FactorsBiomarkersChorionic Gonadotropin, beta Subunit, HumanPAPPA protein, humanPregnancy-Associated Plasma Protein-A

Identifiers

PMID39003389
PMCPMC11246412

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.