Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39003317›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

A climate vulnerability assessment of the fish community in the Western Baltic Sea.

Dorothee Moll, Harald Asmus, Alexandra Blöcker, Uwe Böttcher, Jan Conradt, Leonie Färber, Nicole Funk, Steffen Funk, Helene Gutte, Hans-Harald Hinrichsen and 16 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

26 authors.

Dorothee MollThuenen Institute of Baltic Sea Fisheries, Rostock, Germany.
Harald AsmusAlfred-Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Wadden Sea Station Sylt, List, Germany.
Alexandra BlöckerInstitute of Marine Ecosystem and Fishery Science, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Hamburg University, Hamburg, Germany.
Uwe BöttcherThuenen Institute of Baltic Sea Fisheries, Rostock, Germany.
Jan ConradtInstitute of Marine Ecosystem and Fishery Science, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Hamburg University, Hamburg, Germany.
Leonie FärberInstitute of Marine Ecosystem and Fishery Science, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Hamburg University, Hamburg, Germany.
Nicole FunkInstitute of Marine Ecosystem and Fishery Science, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Hamburg University, Hamburg, Germany.
Steffen FunkInstitute of Marine Ecosystem and Fishery Science, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Hamburg University, Hamburg, Germany.
Helene GutteInstitute of Marine Ecosystem and Fishery Science, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Hamburg University, Hamburg, Germany.
Hans-Harald HinrichsenMarine Ecology Research Division, GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Kiel, Germany.
Paul KotterbaThuenen Institute of Baltic Sea Fisheries, Rostock, Germany.
Uwe KrummeThuenen Institute of Baltic Sea Fisheries, Rostock, Germany.
Frane MadiracaInstitute of Marine Ecosystem and Fishery Science, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Hamburg University, Hamburg, Germany.
H E Markus MeierDepartment of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany.
Steffi MeyerInstitute of Marine Ecosystem and Fishery Science, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Hamburg University, Hamburg, Germany.
Timo MoritzStiftung Deutsches Meeresmuseum - Museum für Meereskunde und Fischerei, Deutsches Meeresmuseum, Stralsund, Germany.
Saskia A OttoInstitute of Marine Ecosystem and Fishery Science, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Hamburg University, Hamburg, Germany.
Guilherme PintoGerman Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.
Patrick PolteThuenen Institute of Baltic Sea Fisheries, Rostock, Germany.
Marie-Catherine RiekhofCenter for Ocean and Society (CeOS), Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel, Kiel, Germany.
Victoria SarrazinLeibniz Institute for Biodiversity Change Analysis (LIB), Museum of Nature - Zoology, Hamburg, Germany.
Heike SchwermerCenter for Ocean and Society (CeOS), Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel, Kiel, Germany.
Marco ScottiMarine Ecology Research Division, GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Kiel, Germany.
Rudi VossGerman Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.
Helmut WinklerDepartment of Zoology, University of Rostock, Rostock, Germany.
Christian MöllmannInstitute of Marine Ecosystem and Fishery Science, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Hamburg University, Hamburg, Germany. christian.moellmann@uni-hamburg.de.

Funding

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft 390683824European Union 820989European Union 862428German Federal Ministry of Education and Research 01LC1825German Federal Ministry of Education and Research 03F0863German Federal Ministry of Education and Research 03F0914
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Marine fisheries are increasingly impacted by climate change, affecting species distribution and productivity, and necessitating urgent adaptation efforts. Climate vulnerability assessments (CVA), integrating expert knowledge, are vital for identifying species that could thrive or suffer under changing environmental conditions. This study presents a first CVA for the Western Baltic Sea's fish community, a crucial fishing area for Denmark and Germany. Characterized by a unique mix of marine, brackish, and freshwater species, this coastal ecosystem faces significant changes due to the combined effects of overfishing, eutrophication and climate change. Our CVA involved a qualitative expert scoring of 22 fish species, assessing their sensitivity and exposure to climate change. Our study revealed a dichotomy in climate change vulnerability within the fish community of the Western Baltic Sea because traditional fishing targets cod and herring as well as other species with complex life histories are considered to face increased risks, whereas invasive or better adaptable species might thrive under changing conditions. Our findings hence demonstrate the complex interplay between life-history traits and climate change vulnerability in marine fish communities. Eventually, our study provides critical knowledge for the urgent development of tailored adaptation efforts addressing existing but especially future effects of climate change on fish and fisheries in the Western Baltic Sea, to navigate this endangered fisheries systems into a sustainable future.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeFisheriesFishesOceans and SeasAnimalsBiodiversityConservation of Natural ResourcesDenmarkEcosystemGermanyClimate changeClimate vulnerability assessmentFish communityTrait-based sensitivityWestern Baltic Sea

Identifiers

PMID39003317
PMCPMC11246524

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.