Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39002043›Full record

ArticleApplied health economics and health policy2024

Predictors of High Healthcare Cost Among Patients with Generalized Myasthenia Gravis: A Combined Machine Learning and Regression Approach from a US Payer Perspective.

Maryia Zhdanava, Jacqueline Pesa, Porpong Boonmak, Samuel Schwartzbein, Qian Cai, Dominic Pilon, Zia Choudhry, Marie-Hélène Lafeuille, Patrick Lefebvre, Nizar Souayah

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Applied health economics and health policy, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Trial
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
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  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Maryia ZhdanavaAnalysis Group, Inc., Montréal, QC, Canada. Masha.Zhdanava@analysisgroup.com.ORCID 0000-0002-7995-2578
Jacqueline PesaJanssen Scientific Affairs, LLC, a Johnson & Johnson company, Titusville, NJ, USA.
Porpong BoonmakAnalysis Group, Inc., Montréal, QC, Canada.
Samuel SchwartzbeinAnalysis Group, Inc., Montréal, QC, Canada.
Qian CaiJanssen Global Services, Titusville, NJ, USA.
Dominic PilonAnalysis Group, Inc., Montréal, QC, Canada.
Zia ChoudhryJanssen Scientific Affairs, LLC, a Johnson & Johnson company, Titusville, NJ, USA.
Marie-Hélène LafeuilleAnalysis Group, Inc., Montréal, QC, Canada.
Patrick LefebvreAnalysis Group, Inc., Montréal, QC, Canada.
Nizar SouayahDepartment of Neurology and Neurosciences, Rutgers-New Jersey Medical School, Newark, NJ, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHigh healthcare costs could arise from unmet needs. This study used random forest (RF) and regression methods to identify predictors of high costs from a US payer perspective in patients newly diagnosed with generalized myasthenia gravis (gMG).

methodsAdults with gMG (first diagnosis = index) were selected from the IQVIA PharMetrics

resultsThe main cohort and subgroup included 2739 and 1638 patients, respectively. In RF analysis, the most important predictors of high costs before/on the index date were index MG exacerbation, all-cause inpatient admission, and number of days with corticosteroids. After the index date, these were immunoglobulin and monoclonal antibody use and number of all-cause outpatient visits and MG-related encounters. Adjusting for the top 50 predictors, post-index immunoglobulin use increased the risk of high costs by 261%, monoclonal antibody use by 135%, index MG exacerbation by 78%, and pre-index all-cause inpatient admission by 27% (all p < 0.05).

conclusionsThis analysis links patient characteristics both before the formal MG diagnosis and in the first year to high future healthcare costs. Findings may help inform payers on cost-saving strategies, and providers can potentially shift to targeted treatment approaches to reduce the clinical and economic burden of gMG.

Indexed as

Health Care CostsMachine LearningMyasthenia GravisAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRegression AnalysisUnited States

Identifiers

PMID39002043
PMCPMC11338970

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.