Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38996498›Full record

ArticleJournal of critical care2024

Enhancing Sepsis prognosis: Integrating social determinants and demographic variables into a comprehensive model for critically ill patients.

Elie Sarraf, Alireza Vafaei Sadr, Vida Abedi, Anthony S Bonavia

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Article in Journal of critical care, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Elie SarrafDepartment of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Penn State Milton S Hershey Medical Center, Hershey, PA 17033, USA.
Alireza Vafaei SadrDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, PA 17033, USA.
Vida AbediDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, PA 17033, USA.
Anthony S BonaviaDivision of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Penn State Milton S Hershey Medical Center, Hershey, PA 17033, USA. Electronic address: abonavia@pennstatehealth.psu.edu.

Funding

Integration of Immunologic Phenotyping with Computational Approaches to Predict Clinical Trajectory in Septic PatientsR35GM150695 · NIGMS · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV HERSHEY MED CTR · PI Anthony S Bonavia · 2023 to 2026
$1.7M
NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM150695
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score monitors organ failure and defines sepsis but may not fully capture factors influencing sepsis mortality. Socioeconomic and demographic impacts on sepsis outcomes have been highlighted recently.

objectiveTo evaluate the prognostic value of SOFA scores against demographic and social health determinants for predicting sepsis mortality in critically ill patients, and to assess if a combined model increases predictive accuracy.

methodsThe study utilized retrospective data from the MIMIC-IV database and prospective external validation from the Penn State Health cohort. A Random Forest model incorporating SOFA scores, demographic/social data, and the Charlson Comorbidity Index was trained and validated.

findingsIn the MIMIC-IV dataset of 32,970 sepsis patients, 6,824 (20.7%) died within 30 days. A model including demographic, socioeconomic, and comorbidity data with SOFA scores improved predictive accuracy beyond SOFA scores alone. Day 2 SOFA, age, weight, and comorbidities were significant predictors. External validation showed consistent performance, highlighting the importance of delta SOFA between days 1 and 3.

conclusionAdding patient-specific demographic and socioeconomic information to clinical metrics significantly improves sepsis mortality prediction. This suggests a more comprehensive, multidimensional prognostic approach is needed for accurate sepsis outcome predictions.

Indexed as

Critical IllnessOrgan Dysfunction ScoresSepsisSocial Determinants of HealthAdultAgedComorbidityFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesSociodemographic FactorsSocioeconomic FactorsMachine learningMIMIC databaseMortalitySepsisSequential organ failure assessment score

Identifiers

PMID38996498
PMCPMC11297654

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.