Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38995678›Full record

ArticleJournal of medical Internet research2024

A Computed Tomography-Based Fracture Prediction Model With Images of Vertebral Bones and Muscles by Employing Deep Learning: Development and Validation Study.

Sung Hye Kong, Wonwoo Cho, Sung Bae Park, Jaegul Choo, Jung Hee Kim, Sang Wan Kim, Chan Soo Shin

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of medical Internet research, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
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13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Sung Hye Kong *Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-8791-0909
Wonwoo Cho *Kim Jaechul Graduate School of AI, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-4547-734X
Sung Bae ParkDepartment of Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Boramae Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-4652-3056
Jaegul Choo *Kim Jaechul Graduate School of AI, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-1071-4835
Jung Hee Kim *Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-1932-0234
Sang Wan KimDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-9561-9110
Chan Soo ShinDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-5829-4465

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWith the progressive increase in aging populations, the use of opportunistic computed tomography (CT) scanning is increasing, which could be a valuable method for acquiring information on both muscles and bones of aging populations.

objectiveThe aim of this study was to develop and externally validate opportunistic CT-based fracture prediction models by using images of vertebral bones and paravertebral muscles.

methodsThe models were developed based on a retrospective longitudinal cohort study of 1214 patients with abdominal CT images between 2010 and 2019. The models were externally validated in 495 patients. The primary outcome of this study was defined as the predictive accuracy for identifying vertebral fracture events within a 5-year follow-up. The image models were developed using an attention convolutional neural network-recurrent neural network model from images of the vertebral bone and paravertebral muscles.

resultsThe mean ages of the patients in the development and validation sets were 73 years and 68 years, and 69.1% (839/1214) and 78.8% (390/495) of them were females, respectively. The areas under the receiver operator curve (AUROCs) for predicting vertebral fractures were superior in images of the vertebral bone and paravertebral muscles than those in the bone-only images in the external validation cohort (0.827, 95% CI 0.821-0.833 vs 0.815, 95% CI 0.806-0.824, respectively; P<.001). The AUROCs of these image models were higher than those of the fracture risk assessment models (0.810 for major osteoporotic risk, 0.780 for hip fracture risk). For the clinical model using age, sex, BMI, use of steroids, smoking, possible secondary osteoporosis, type 2 diabetes mellitus, HIV, hepatitis C, and renal failure, the AUROC value in the external validation cohort was 0.749 (95% CI 0.736-0.762), which was lower than that of the image model using vertebral bones and muscles (P<.001).

conclusionsThe model using the images of the vertebral bone and paravertebral muscle showed better performance than that using the images of the bone-only or clinical variables. Opportunistic CT screening may contribute to identifying patients with a high fracture risk in the future.

Indexed as

Deep LearningSpinal FracturesTomography, X-Ray ComputedAgedFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedMuscle, SkeletalRetrospective StudiesSpinebonebonesdeep learningdevelopdevelopmentfracturefracture risk assessmentimagingmachine learningmusclemusclesmusculoskeletalpredictpredictionpredictiveprospective cohortscanningtomographyvalidatevalidation

Identifiers

PMID38995678
PMCPMC11282387

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.