Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38995381›Full record

ArticleEuropean radiology2025

AI-based abdominal CT measurements of orthotopic and ectopic fat predict mortality and cardiometabolic disease risk in adults.

Matthew H Lee, Ryan Zea, John W Garrett, Ronald M Summers, Perry J Pickhardt

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Article in European radiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Matthew H LeeDepartments of Radiology and Medical Physics, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, 600 Highland Ave, Madison, WI, 53792, USA. mlee5@uwhealth.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8500-0306
Ryan ZeaDepartments of Radiology and Medical Physics, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, 600 Highland Ave, Madison, WI, 53792, USA.
John W GarrettDepartments of Radiology and Medical Physics, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, 600 Highland Ave, Madison, WI, 53792, USA.
Ronald M SummersNational Institutes of Health Clinical Center, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Perry J PickhardtDepartments of Radiology and Medical Physics, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, 600 Highland Ave, Madison, WI, 53792, USA.

Funding

Computer Aided Detection for CT ColonographyZIACL040003 · CLC · CLINICAL CENTER · PI SUMMERS, RONALD M. · 2009 to 2025
$0k
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo evaluate the utility of CT-based abdominal fat measures for predicting the risk of death and cardiometabolic disease in an asymptomatic adult screening population.

methodsFully automated AI tools quantifying abdominal adipose tissue (L3 level visceral [VAT] and subcutaneous [SAT] fat area, visceral-to-subcutaneous fat ratio [VSR], VAT attenuation), muscle attenuation (L3 level), and liver attenuation were applied to non-contrast CT scans in asymptomatic adults undergoing CT colonography (CTC). Longitudinal follow-up documented subsequent deaths, cardiovascular events, and diabetes. ROC and time-to-event analyses were performed to generate AUCs and hazard ratios (HR) binned by octile.

resultsA total of 9223 adults (mean age, 57 years; 4071:5152 M:F) underwent screening CTC from April 2004 to December 2016. 549 patients died on follow-up (median, nine years). Fat measures outperformed BMI for predicting mortality risk-5-year AUCs for muscle attenuation, VSR, and BMI were 0.721, 0.661, and 0.499, respectively. Higher visceral, muscle, and liver fat were associated with increased mortality risk-VSR > 1.53, HR = 3.1; muscle attenuation < 15 HU, HR = 5.4; liver attenuation < 45 HU, HR = 2.3. Higher VAT area and VSR were associated with increased cardiovascular event and diabetes risk-VSR > 1.59, HR = 2.6 for cardiovascular event; VAT area > 291 cm

conclusionFully automated CT-based measures of abdominal fat are predictive of mortality and cardiometabolic disease risk in asymptomatic adults and uncover trends that are not reflected in anthropomorphic measures. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Fully automated CT-based measures of abdominal fat soundly outperform anthropometric measures for mortality and cardiometabolic risk prediction in asymptomatic patients. KEY POINTS: Abdominal fat depots associated with metabolic dysregulation and cardiovascular disease can be derived from abdominal CT. Fully automated AI body composition tools can measure factors associated with increased mortality and cardiometabolic risk. CT-based abdominal fat measures uncover trends in mortality and cardiometabolic risk not captured by BMI in asymptomatic outpatients.

Indexed as

Tomography, X-Ray ComputedAbdominal FatAdultAgedCardiovascular DiseasesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRadiography, AbdominalRisk AssessmentAbdominal fatArtificial intelligenceBody compositionCTEctopic fat

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.