Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38990403›Full record

ArticleArchives of osteoporosis2024

Performance of the Brazilian Fracture Assessment Risk Tool (FRAX) model and the age-dependent intervention thresholds according to National Osteoporosis Guideline Group (NOGG) guidelines on fracture prediction in community-dwelling older adults: the São Paulo Ageing and Health (SPAH) Study.

Thiago Quadrante Freitas, Leonardo Flavio Guerrón Olalla, Luana Gerheim Machado, Camille Pinto Figueiredo, Liliam Takayama, Valeria de Falco Caparbo, Diogo Souza Domiciano, Rosa Maria Rodrigues Pereira

Abstract read
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Article in Archives of osteoporosis, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Comparison of country-specific FRAX models throughout Latin America: lessons from Costa Rica and Ecuador.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Thiago Quadrante FreitasBone Metabolism Laboratory, Rheumatology Division, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Disciplina de Reumatologia, Av. Dr. Arnaldo, 455, 3° Andar, Sala 3105, Sao Paulo, SP, 01246-903, Brazil. thiago.f@fm.usp.br.
Leonardo Flavio Guerrón OlallaBone Metabolism Laboratory, Rheumatology Division, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Disciplina de Reumatologia, Av. Dr. Arnaldo, 455, 3° Andar, Sala 3105, Sao Paulo, SP, 01246-903, Brazil.
Luana Gerheim MachadoBone Metabolism Laboratory, Rheumatology Division, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Disciplina de Reumatologia, Av. Dr. Arnaldo, 455, 3° Andar, Sala 3105, Sao Paulo, SP, 01246-903, Brazil.
Camille Pinto FigueiredoBone Metabolism Laboratory, Rheumatology Division, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Disciplina de Reumatologia, Av. Dr. Arnaldo, 455, 3° Andar, Sala 3105, Sao Paulo, SP, 01246-903, Brazil.
Liliam TakayamaBone Metabolism Laboratory, Rheumatology Division, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Disciplina de Reumatologia, Av. Dr. Arnaldo, 455, 3° Andar, Sala 3105, Sao Paulo, SP, 01246-903, Brazil.
Valeria de Falco CaparboBone Metabolism Laboratory, Rheumatology Division, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Disciplina de Reumatologia, Av. Dr. Arnaldo, 455, 3° Andar, Sala 3105, Sao Paulo, SP, 01246-903, Brazil.
Diogo Souza DomicianoBone Metabolism Laboratory, Rheumatology Division, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Disciplina de Reumatologia, Av. Dr. Arnaldo, 455, 3° Andar, Sala 3105, Sao Paulo, SP, 01246-903, Brazil.
Rosa Maria Rodrigues PereiraBone Metabolism Laboratory, Rheumatology Division, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Disciplina de Reumatologia, Av. Dr. Arnaldo, 455, 3° Andar, Sala 3105, Sao Paulo, SP, 01246-903, Brazil.

Funding

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo #03/09313-0Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo #04/12694-8Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo #09/15346-4
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The SPAH study is a population-based prospective cohort of Brazilian community-dwelling elderlies with higher fracture risk than observed in the studies used to construct the Brazilian FRAX model. In this study, the FRAX tool was a good fracture predictor within this high-risk elderly cohort, especially when calculated without bone density. PURPOSE: To determine the performances of FRAX and age-dependent intervention thresholds according to National Osteoporosis Guideline Group (NOGG) guidelines with and without bone mineral density (BMD) regarding fracture prediction in community-dwelling elderly Brazilians.

methodsSeven hundred and five older adults (447 women; 258 men) were followed for 4.3 ± 0.8 years. FRAX risk for hip and major osteoporotic fractures with and without BMD was calculated at baseline. The bivariate analysis investigated the associations between the absolute probability of fracture (FRAX), as well as the age-dependent intervention thresholds (NOGG), and the incidence of vertebral fracture (VF), non-vertebral fracture (NVF), and major osteoporotic fractures (MOF), segregated by sex. Age-adjusted Poisson's multiple regression and ROC curves were constructed to determine FRAX and NOGG's accuracies as fracture predictors.

resultsFractures occurred in 22% of women and 15% of men. FRAX with and without BMD was higher in women with all types of fractures (p < 0.001). Only NOGG risk classification without BMD was associated with NVF (p = 0.047) and MOF (p = 0.024). FRAX was associated with NVF in the multiple regression, regardless of BMD. ROC curves of FRAX with and without BMD had AUCs of 0.74, 0.64, and 0.61 for NVF, VF, and MOF, respectively. The most accurate risk cutoffs for FRAX were 8% for MOF and 3% for hip fractures. No statistically significant associations were found in men.

conclusionFRAX predicted NVF more accurately than VF or MOF in elderlies, regardless of BMD. These results reiterate that FRAX may be used without BMD, even considering that Brazilian elderlies have known higher fracture risk.

Indexed as

Bone DensityOsteoporotic FracturesAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsBrazilFemaleHumansIndependent LivingMaleOsteoporosisPractice Guidelines as TopicProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsBone mineral densityFracturesFRAXNOGGOsteoporosis

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.