Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38989008›Full record

ArticleInfection and drug resistance2024

Construction and Validation of a Nomogram to Identify the Risk of Cavitation in Pulmonary Tuberculosis.

Mei Song, Meng Zhang, Jia Han, Wenjiang Fu

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Article in Infection and drug resistance, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

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6citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Mei SongDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Jiashan County First People's Hospital, Jiashan, Zhejiang, 314100, People's Republic of China.
Meng ZhangDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Jiashan County First People's Hospital, Jiashan, Zhejiang, 314100, People's Republic of China.
Jia HanDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Jiashan County First People's Hospital, Jiashan, Zhejiang, 314100, People's Republic of China.
Wenjiang FuDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Jiashan County First People's Hospital, Jiashan, Zhejiang, 314100, People's Republic of China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The present study aimed to construct and validate a nomogram based on clinical metrics to identify CPTB. Patients and Methods: The present study retrospectively recruited pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) patients admitted to Jiashan County First People's Hospital in China from November 2018 to September 2023. PTB patients were classified into the CPTB group and the non-CPTB group based on chest computed tomography findings, and were randomly allocated to the training set (70%) and the validation cohort (30%). The training set and validation set were used to establish and validate nomogram, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis (MLSA) was used to identify the independent risk factors for CPTB in patients with PTB. Statistically significant variables in the MLSA were then used to construct a nomogram predicting CPTB in patients with PTB. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve analysis (CCA), and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used for the evaluation of the nomogram. Results: A total of 293 PTB patients, including 208 in the training set (85 CPTB) and 85 in the validation set (33 CPTB\), were included in this study. Stepwise MLSA showed that sputum smear (≥2+), smoking(yes), glycosylated hemoglobin A1c(HbA1c), hemoglobin (HB), and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) were independent risk factors for the development of cavitation in patients with PTB. The nomogram identifying the high-risk CPTB patients was successfully established and showed a strong predictive capacity, with area under the curves (AUCs) of 0.875 (95% CI:0.806-0.909) and 0.848 (95% CI:0.751-0.946) in the training set and validation set respectively. In addition, the CCA and DCA corroborated the nomogram's high level of accuracy and clinical applicability within both the training and validation sets. Conclusion: The constructed nomogram, consisting of sputum smear positivity, smoking, HbA1C, HB, and SIRI, serves as a practical and effective tool for early identification and personalized management of CPTB.

Indexed as

cavitationnomogrampulmonary tuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID38989008
PMCPMC11233379

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.