Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38987990›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of rural health : official journal of the American Rural Health Association and the National Rural Health Care Association2025

The uneven impact of Medicaid expansion on rural and urban Black, Latino/a, and White mortality.

J Tom Mueller, Regina S Baker, Matthew M Brooks

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of rural health : official journal of the American Rural Health Association and the National Rural Health Care Association, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. The uneven impact of Medicaid expansion on rural and urban Black, Latino/a, and White mortality.The Journal of rural health : official journal of the American Rural Health Association and the National Rural Health Care Association · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

J Tom MuellerDepartment of Population Health, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, Kansas, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6223-4505
Regina S BakerDepartment of Sociology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Matthew M BrooksDepartment of Sociology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, USA.

Funding

The Effect of Medicaid Expansion on Mortality Disparities and PovertyU01MD017700 · NIMHD · UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA · PI Joel Thomas Mueller · 2022 to 2026
$1.6M
National Institute for Minority Health and Health Disparities U01MD017700NIMHD NIH HHS U01 MD017700
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo determine the differential impact of Medicaid expansion on all-cause mortality between Black, Latino/a, and White populations in rural and urban areas, and assess how expansion impacted mortality disparities between these groups.

methodsWe employ a county-level time-varying heterogenous treatment effects difference-in-difference analysis of Medicaid expansion on all-cause age-adjusted mortality for those 64 years of age or younger from 2009 to 2019. For all counties within the 50 US States and the District of Columbia, we use restricted-access vital statistics data to estimate Average Treatment Effect on the Treated (ATET) for all combinations of racial and ethnic group (Black, Latino/a, White), rurality (rural, urban), and sex. We then assess aggregate ATET, as well as how the ATET changed as time from expansion increased.

findingsMedicaid expansion led to a reduction in all-cause age-adjusted mortality for urban Black populations, but not rural Black populations. Urban White populations experienced mixed effects dependent on years after expansion. Latino/a populations saw no appreciable impact. While no effect was observed for rural Black and Latino/a populations, rural White all-cause age-adjusted mortality unexpectedly increased due to Medicaid expansion. These effects reduced rural- and urban-specific Black-White mortality disparities but did not shrink the rural-urban mortality gap.

conclusionsThe mortality-reducing impact of Medicaid expansion has been uneven across racial and ethnic groups and rural-urban status; suggesting that many populations-particularly rural individuals-are not seeing the same benefits as others. It is imperative that states work to ensure Medicaid expansion is being appropriately implemented in rural areas.

Indexed as

MedicaidMortalityRural PopulationUrban PopulationAdolescentAdultBlack or African AmericanFemaleHispanic or LatinoHumansMaleMiddle AgedPatient Protection and Affordable Care ActUnited StatesWhiteMedicaidmortalitymortality disparitiesrace and ethnicityrural

Identifiers

PMID38987990
PMCPMC11635343

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.