Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38987576›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

Saltwater intrusion and human health risks for coastal populations under 2050 climate scenarios.

William Mueller, Daniel Zamrsky, Gualbert Oude Essink, Lora E Fleming, Aniruddha Deshpande, Konstantinos C Makris, Benedict W Wheeler, John N Newton, K M Venkat Narayan, Abu Mohd Naser and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Waterborne diseases and climate change.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

William MuellerInstitute of Occupational Medicine, Edinburgh, UK. will.mueller@iom-world.org.
Daniel ZamrskyDepartment of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Gualbert Oude EssinkDepartment of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Lora E FlemingUniversity of Exeter Medical School, Penryn, UK.
Aniruddha DeshpandeDepartment of Epidemiology, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Konstantinos C MakrisCyprus International Institute for Environmental and Public Health, School of Health Sciences, Cyprus University of Technology, Limassol, Cyprus.
Benedict W WheelerUniversity of Exeter Medical School, Penryn, UK.
John N NewtonUniversity of Exeter Medical School, Penryn, UK.
K M Venkat NarayanDepartment of Epidemiology, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Abu Mohd NaserDivision of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Environmental Health, University of Memphis, Memphis, TN, USA.
Matthew O GribbleDepartment of Medicine, Division of Occupational, Environmental & Climate Medicine (OECM), University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Populations consuming saline drinking water are at greater risk of high blood pressure and potentially other adverse health outcomes. We modelled data and used available datasets to identify countries of higher vulnerability to future saltwater intrusion associated with climate change in 2050 under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP)4.5 and RCP8.5. We developed three vulnerability criteria to capture geographies with: (1) any coastal areas with projected inland saltwater intrusion of ≥ 1 km inland, (2) > 50% of the population in coastal secondary administrative areas with reliance on groundwater for drinking water, and 3) high national average sodium urinary excretion (i.e., > 3 g/day). We identified 41 nations across all continents (except Antarctica) with ≥ 1 km of inland saltwater intrusion by 2050. Seven low- and middle-income countries of higher vulnerability were all concentrated in South/Southeast Asia. Based on these initial findings, future research should study geological nuances at the local level in higher-risk areas and co-produce with local communities contextually appropriate solutions to secure equitable access to clean drinking water.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeDrinking WaterGroundwaterHumansHypertensionWater SupplyDrinking WaterClimate changeLow- and middle-income countriesSalinitySea level rise

Identifiers

PMID38987576
PMCPMC11237024

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.