Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38986355›Full record

ArticleCancer epidemiology2024

Incidence and survival of pediatric and adult hepatocellular carcinoma, United States, 2001-2020.

Azlann Arnett, David A Siegel, Shifan Dai, Trevor D Thompson, Jennifer Foster, Erika J di Pierro, Behnoosh Momin, Philip J Lupo, Andras Heczey

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer epidemiology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  3. Frontiers in medicine · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Azlann ArnettCancer and Hematology Centers, Texas Children's Hospital, Houston, TX, United States; Division of Hematology-Oncology, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States.
David A SiegelDivision of Cancer Prevention and Control, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States.
Shifan DaiCyberdata Technologies, Inc., Herndon, VA, United States.
Trevor D ThompsonDivision of Cancer Prevention and Control, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States.
Jennifer FosterCancer and Hematology Centers, Texas Children's Hospital, Houston, TX, United States; Division of Hematology-Oncology, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States.
Erika J di PierroCancer and Hematology Centers, Texas Children's Hospital, Houston, TX, United States; Division of Hematology-Oncology, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States.
Behnoosh MominDivision of Cancer Prevention and Control, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States.
Philip J LupoCancer and Hematology Centers, Texas Children's Hospital, Houston, TX, United States; Center for Epidemiology and Population Health, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States; Division of Hematology-Oncology, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States.
Andras HeczeyCancer and Hematology Centers, Texas Children's Hospital, Houston, TX, United States; Division of Hematology-Oncology, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States. Electronic address: heczey@bcm.edu.

Funding

The Clinical Translational Research Certificate of Added Qualification ProgramT32GM136554 · NIGMS · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI Melissa Suter, IGNATIA B VAN DEN VEYVER · 2020 to 2026
$3.0M
Intramural CDC HHS CC999999NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM136554
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHepatocellular carcinoma accounts for approximately 80 % of liver neoplasms. Globally, hepatocellular carcinoma ranks as the third most lethal cancer, with the number of deaths expected to further increase by 2040. In adults, disparities in incidence and survival are well described while pediatric epidemiology is not well characterized. We describe incidence and survival for pediatric (ages 0-19 years) hepatocellular carcinoma cases and compare these measures to adults (ages ≥ 20 years) diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma.

methodsWe assessed incidence data from the US Cancer Statistics database during 2003-2020 and 5-year survival from the National Program of Cancer Registries during 2001-2019. Incidence trends were determined by annual percent change (APC) and average APC (AAPC) using joinpoint regression. Five-year survival was evaluated by relative survival, and all-cause survival was estimated using multivariate Cox modeling. Corresponding 95 % confidence intervals (CI) were calculated for all analyses.

resultsIncidence rate per 100,000 persons was 0.056 (95 %CI:0.052-0.060) for pediatric cases and 7.793 (7.767-7.819) for adults. Incidence was stable in the pediatric population (0.3 AAPC, - 1.1 to 1.7). In contrast, after periods of increase, incidence declined in adults after 2015 (-1.5 APC). Relative survival increased over time for both pediatric and adult ages and was higher for children and adolescents (46.4 %, 95 %CI:42.4-50.3) than adults (20.7 %, 95 %CI:20.5-20.9). Regression modeling showed that non-Hispanic Black race and ethnicity was associated with higher risk of death in children and adolescents (1.48, 95 %CI:1.07-2.05) and adults (1.11, 95 %CI:1.09-1.12) compared to non-Hispanic white race and ethnicity.

conclusionsBetween 2003 and 2020 in the United States, pediatric incidence was stable while incidence in adults began to decline after 2015. Survival was higher across all stages for children and adolescents compared to adults. Non-Hispanic Black race and ethnicity showed a higher risk of death for both age groups. Further studies could explore the factors that influence these outcome disparities.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularLiver NeoplasmsAdolescentAdultAgedChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornMaleMiddle AgedRegistriesSurvival RateHepatocellular carcinomaIncidenceSurvival

Identifiers

PMID38986355
PMCPMC12409671

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.