Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38984719›Full record

ArticleEuropace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology2024

Global burden of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter and its attributable risk factors from 1990 to 2021.

Siyuan Cheng, JinZheng He, Yuchen Han, Shaojie Han, Panpan Li, Huanyan Liao, Jun Guo

Registry-linked trialAbstract readComment
In one paragraph

Article in Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07339007 (Observational Study to Validate a Family Physician Echocardiography Training Programme), which is not on this map. Cited by 162 papers, 11 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
162citing papers in PubMed, 11 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07339007 enrolling by invitationnot on this map

Observational Study to Validate a Family Physician Echocardiography Training Programme

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorSocietat Catalana de Medicina Familiar i Comunitària, Assoc. (CAMFiC)Ran2023 to 2027Enrolled500ConditionsHeart Failure, Valvular Heart Diseases, Atrial Fibrillation (AF), Arterial HypertensionArmsCohort of GPs: Training program, Cohort of patients
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

162 citing papers in PubMed, 11 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Practical guide on the use of the PulseSelect pulsed field ablation system for atrial fibrillation ablation procedures.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Guideline
  2. Comparative evaluation of left atrial appendage occlusion and oral anticoagulation: a Bayesian meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Pooled it
  3. Long-term efficacy and safety of left atrial appendage closure vs. oral anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Pooled it
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  8. Pooled it
  9. Guideline
  10. Pooled it
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  12. Cryoballoon ablation vs. antiarrhythmic drug therapy as initial treatment for persistent atrial fibrillation: the multicentre randomized CEPAF trial.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Trial
  13. Population reach and participation rate in opportunistic vs. systematic atrial fibrillation screening: STROKESTOP III.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Trial
  14. Personalized pulmonary vein isolation guided by left atrial wall thickness for persistent atrial fibrillation ablation: the PeAF-by-LAWT randomized trial.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2025
    Trial
  15. Review
  16. Observational
  17. Sphingomyelin as a key negative mediator in atrial fibrillation via lipid profiling analysis and functional identification.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Article
  18. Development and validation of the GLORIA-AF Stroke Weighted Risk Score for patients with atrial fibrillation.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

102 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Siyuan ChengDepartment of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, No. 613, Huangpu Avenue West, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510630, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9979-1388
JinZheng HeDepartment of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, No. 613, Huangpu Avenue West, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510630, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6286-0995
Yuchen HanDepartment of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, No. 613, Huangpu Avenue West, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510630, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6822-1606
Shaojie HanDepartment of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, No. 613, Huangpu Avenue West, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510630, China.
Panpan LiDepartment of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, No. 613, Huangpu Avenue West, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510630, China.
Huanyan LiaoDepartment of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, No. 613, Huangpu Avenue West, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510630, China.ORCID 0009-0004-4652-6128
Jun GuoDepartment of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, No. 613, Huangpu Avenue West, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510630, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsTo devise effective preventive measures, a profound understanding of the evolving patterns and trends in atrial fibrillation (AF) and atrial flutter (AFL) burdens is pivotal. Our study was designed to quantify the burden and delineate the risk factors associated with AF and AFL across 204 countries and territories spanning 1990-2021. METHODS AND

resultsData pertaining to AF and AFL were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The burden of AF/AFL was evaluated using metrics such as incidence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), deaths, and their corresponding age-standardized rates (ASRs), stratified by age, sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and human development index (HDI). The estimated annual percentage change was employed to quantify changes in ASRs. Population attributable fractions were calculated to determine the proportional contributions of major risk factors to age-standardized AF/AFL deaths. This analysis encompassed the period from 1990 to 2021. Globally, in 2021, there were 4.48 million incident cases [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 3.61-5.70], 8.36 million DALYs (95% UI: 6.97-10.13) and 0.34 million deaths (95% UI: 0.29-0.37) attributed to AF/AFL. The AF/AFL burden in 2021, as well as its trends from 1990 to 2021, displayed substantial variations based on gender, SDI quintiles, and geographical regions. High systolic blood pressure emerged as the leading contributor to age-standardized AF/AFL incidence, prevalence, death, and DALY rate globally among all potential risk factors, followed closely by high body mass index.

conclusionOur study underscores the enduring significance of AF/AFL as a prominent public health concern worldwide, marked by profound regional and national variations. Despite the substantial potential for prevention and management of AF/AFL, there is a pressing imperative to adopt more cost-effective strategies and interventions to target modifiable risk factors, particularly in areas where the burden of AF/AFL is high or escalating.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationAtrial FlutterGlobal Burden of DiseaseAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentAtrial fibrillation/flutterDeathsDisability-adjusted life yearsGlobal Burden of DiseaseIncidenceRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID38984719
PMCPMC11287210

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.