Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38984376›Full record

ArticleESC heart failure2024

Prognostic impact of new-onset atrial fibrillation in myocardial infarction with and without improved ejection fraction.

Jiachen Luo, Xiaoming Qin, Xingxu Zhang, Yiwei Zhang, Yuan Fang, Wentao Shi, Baoxin Liu, Yidong Wei, NOAFCAMI‐SH Registry Investigators

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in ESC heart failure, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03533543 (A Retrospective Cohort Study on the Burden of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation Complicating Acute Myocardial Infarction at Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital), which is not on this map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03533543 completednot on this map

A Retrospective Cohort Study on the Burden of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation Complicating Acute Myocardial Infarction at Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital

TypeobservationalSponsorShanghai 10th People's HospitalRan2018 to 2019Enrolled2,399ConditionsAtrial Fibrillation, Myocardial InfarctionArmsCEM
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Age-Stratified Mortality Impact of Atrial Fibrillation in Elderly NSTEMI Patients.Journal of cardiovascular development and disease · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Jiachen LuoDepartment of Cardiology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Xiaoming QinDepartment of Cardiology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Xingxu ZhangDepartment of Cardiology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Yiwei ZhangDepartment of Cardiology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Yuan FangDepartment of Cardiology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Wentao ShiDepartment of Cardiology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Baoxin LiuDepartment of Cardiology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Yidong WeiDepartment of Cardiology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
NOAFCAMI‐SH Registry InvestigatorsDepartment of Cardiology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 82200318Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai Municipality 18ZR1429700
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsImprovement in left ventricular ejection fraction (impEF) often presents in contemporary acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients. New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) during AMI is an important predictor of subsequential heart failure (HF), while its impact on the trajectory of post-MI left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and prognostic implication in patients with and without impEF remains undetermined. We aimed to investigate the prognostic impacts of NOAF in AMI patients with and without impEF. METHODS AND

resultsConsecutive AMI patients without a prior history of AF between February 2014 and March 2018 with baseline LVEF ≤ 40% and had ≥1 LVEF measurement after baseline were included. ImpEF was defined as a baseline LVEF ≤ 40% and a re-evaluation showed both LVEF > 40% and an absolute increase of LVEF ≥ 10%. Persistently reduced EF (prEF) was defined as the second measurement of LVEF either ≤40% or an absolute increase of LVEF < 10%. The primary endpoint was a major adverse cardiac event (MACE) that was composed of cardiovascular death and HF hospitalization. Cox regression analysis and competing risk analysis were performed to assess the association of post-MI NOAF with MACE. Among 293 patients (mean age: 66.6 ± 11.3 years, 79.2% of males), 145 (49.5%) had impEF and 67 (22.9%) developed NOAF. Higher heart rate (odds ratio [OR]: 0.84, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.73-0.97; P = 0.015), prior MI (OR: 0.25, 95% CI: 0.09-0.69; P = 0.008), and STEMI (OR: 0.40, 95% CI: 0.21-0.77; P = 0.006) were independent predictors of post-MI impEF. Within up to 5 years of follow-up, there were 22 (15.2%) and 53 (35.8%) MACE in patients with impEF and prEF, respectively. NOAF was an independent predictor of MACE in patients with impEF (hazard ratio [HR]: 7.34, 95% CI: 2.49-21.59; P < 0.001) but not in those with prEF (HR: 0.78, 95% CI: 0.39-1.55; P = 0.483) after multivariable adjustment. Similar results were obtained when accounting for the competing risk of all-cause death (subdistribution HR and 95% CIs in impEF and prEF were 6.47 [2.32-18.09] and 0.79 [0.39-1.61], respectively).

conclusionsThe NOAF was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular outcomes in AMI patients with impEF.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationMyocardial InfarctionStroke VolumeVentricular Function, LeftAgedFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHeart FailureHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsSurvival RateAtrial fibrillationCompeting risk analysisImproved ejection fractionMyocardial infarction

Identifiers

PMID38984376
PMCPMC11631320

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.