ArticleFrontiers in veterinary science2024
Google trends as an early indicator of African swine fever outbreaks in Southeast Asia.
Article in Frontiers in veterinary science, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
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3 citing papers in PubMed.
- Molecular identification and phylogenetic profiling of African swine fever virus in Indonesia during 2021-2025 based on theVeterinary world · 2026Article
- First detection of African swine fever in a swine farm in Taiwan.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2026Article
- Unique Nucleotide Polymorphism of African Swine Fever Virus Circulating in East Asia and Central Russia.Viruses · 2024Article
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3 authors.
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Abstract
African Swine Fever (ASF) is a reportable disease of swine that causes far-reaching losses to affected countries and regions. Early detection is critically important to contain and mitigate the impact of ASF outbreaks, for which timely available data is essential. This research examines the potential use of Google Trends data as an early indicator of ASF outbreaks in Southeast Asia, focusing on the three largest swine producing countries, namely, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Thailand. Cross-correlation and Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence indicators were used to evaluate the association between Google search trends and the number of ASF outbreaks reported. Our analysis indicate strong and moderate correlations between Google search trends and number of ASF outbreaks reported in Vietnam and the Philippines, respectively. In contrast, Thailand, the country of this group in which outbreaks were reported last, exhibits the weakest correlation (KL = 2.64), highlighting variations in public awareness and disease dynamics. These findings suggest that Google search trends are valuable for early detection of ASF. As the disease becomes endemic, integrating trends with other epidemiological data may support the design and implementation of surveillance strategies for transboundary animal diseases in Southeast Asia.
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