Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38973707›Full record

ArticleAutism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research2024

Mid-childhood autism sibling recurrence in infants with a family history of autism.

Tessel Bazelmans, Rowan Arthur, Greg Pasco, Elizabeth Shephard, Bosiljka Milosavljevic, Jannath Begum Ali, Andrew Pickles, Mark H Johnson, Emily J H Jones, Tony Charman and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Development of Respiratory Sinus Arrhythmia in Young Infants With Autism Spectrum Disorder, Preterm Birth, and Typical Development.Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Methodological challenges and opportunities when studying the course of autism.Autism : the international journal of research and practice · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Polygenic and developmental profiles of autism differ by age at diagnosis.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  12. Mid-childhood autism sibling recurrence in infants with a family history of autism.Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Tessel BazelmansInstitute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9623-0473
Rowan ArthurInstitute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Greg PascoInstitute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Elizabeth ShephardFaculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Bosiljka MilosavljevicSchool of Biological and Behavioural Sciences, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
Jannath Begum AliCentre for Brain and Cognitive Development, Birkbeck, University of London, London, UK.
Andrew PicklesInstitute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Mark H JohnsonCentre for Brain and Cognitive Development, Birkbeck, University of London, London, UK.
Emily J H JonesCentre for Brain and Cognitive Development, Birkbeck, University of London, London, UK.
Tony CharmanInstitute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1993-6549
BASIS/STAARS Team

Funding

Guy's & St. Thomas Charity STR130505Horizon Europe 101057385Innovative Medicines Initiative 777394Medical Research Council G0701484Medical Research Council MR/K021389/1Medical Research Council MR/R011427/1Medical Research Council MR/T003057/1National Institute for Health Research NF-SI-0617-10120UK Research and Innovation 10039383
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Autism sibling recurrence in prospective infant family history studies is ~20% at 3 years but systematic follow-up to mid-childhood is rare. In population and clinical cohorts autism is not recognized in some children until school-age or later. One hundred and fifty-nine infants with an older sibling with autism underwent research diagnostic assessments at 3 years and mid-childhood (6 to 12 years (mean 9)). We report the autism sibling recurrence rate in mid-childhood and compare developmental and behavioral profiles at mid-childhood and 3 years in those with earlier versus later recognized autism, and those who had, or had not, received a community autism diagnosis. The autism recurrence rate in this sample in mid-childhood was 37.1%, 95% CI [29.9%, 44.9%] and higher in boys than girls. Around half of those diagnosed with autism in mid-childhood had not received a diagnosis at 3 years. Later, diagnosis was more common in girls than boys. While some had sub-threshold symptoms at 3, in others late diagnosis followed a largely typical early presentation. Sibling recurrence based on community clinical diagnosis was 24.5%, 95% CI [18.4%, 31.9%]. Those who also had a community diagnosis tended to be older, have lower adaptive function and higher autism and inattention symptoms. Notwithstanding limitations of a single site study, modest sample size and limits to generalisability, autism sibling recurrence in family history infants may be higher in mid-childhood than in studies reporting diagnostic outcome at 3 years. Findings have implications for families and clinical services, and for prospective family history studies.

Indexed as

Autistic DisorderRecurrenceSiblingsAutism Spectrum DisorderChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantMaleautismdiagnosisfamily historyinfantsrecurrence likelihoodsiblings

Identifiers

PMID38973707
PMCPMC11801122

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.