ArticleParasitology research2024
GIS-based spatiotemporal mapping of malaria prevalence and exploration of environmental inequalities.
Article in Parasitology research, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
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8 citing papers in PubMed.
- Explainable Machine Learning for Predicting Global Malaria Incidence From 2000 to 2022 With Climatic and Extreme Weather Conditions Across 78 Endemic Countries: A Retrospective Ecological Study.Health science reports · 2026Article
- Geostatistical Modelling and Web-Based Mapping of Malaria Risks Among Children Under Five Years in Nigeria: Evidence From the 2021 Nigeria Malaria Indicator Survey.Health science reports · 2026Article
- Geospatial mapping of gender-sensitive malaria vulnerability and ITN usage barriers in Zamfara State, Nigeria.Malaria journal · 2026Article
- Repeated biannual cross-sectional surveys in primary schools set baseline seasonal and spatial surveillance for malaria and schistosomiasis in the Shire Valley Transformation Programme (SVTP), Malawi.Current research in parasitology & vector-borne diseases · 2026Article
- Impact of Urban Green on Population Health in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Scoping Review.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2025Article
- Co-morbidity of malaria and soil-transmitted helminths in Nigeria: a joint Bayesian modelling approach.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2025Article
- Malaria hotspots and risk factors among children under-five years of age across eight West African countries: A geospatial analysis of DHS data.MalariaWorld journal · 2025Article
- Geo-temporal study of clinical malaria in an endemic zone in southern Mali: The case of the Kolondieba health district from 2019 to 2021.MalariaWorld journal · 2025Article
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Abstract
Malaria poses a significant threat to global health, with particular severity in Nigeria. Understanding key factors influencing health outcomes is crucial for addressing health disparities. Disease mapping plays a vital role in assessing the geographical distribution of diseases and has been instrumental in epidemiological research. By delving into the spatiotemporal dynamics of malaria trends, valuable insights can be gained into population dynamics, leading to more informed spatial management decisions. This study focused on examining the evolution of malaria in Nigeria over twenty years (2000-2020) and exploring the impact of environmental factors on this variation. A 5-year-period raster map was developed using malaria indicator survey data for Nigeria's six geopolitical zones. Various spatial analysis techniques, such as point density, spatial autocorrelation, and hotspot analysis, were employed to analyze spatial patterns. Additionally, statistical methods, including Principal Component Analysis, Spearman correlation, and Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression, were used to investigate relationships between indicators and develop a predictive model. The study revealed regional variations in malaria prevalence over time, with the highest number of cases concentrated in northern Nigeria. The raster map illustrated a shift in the distribution of malaria cases over the five years. Environmental factors such as the Enhanced Vegetation Index, annual land surface temperature, and precipitation exhibited a strong positive association with malaria cases in the OLS model. Conversely, insecticide-treated bed net coverage and mean temperature negatively correlated with malaria cases in the same model. The findings from this research provide valuable insights into the spatiotemporal patterns of malaria in Nigeria and highlight the significant role of environmental drivers in influencing disease transmission. This scientific knowledge can inform policymakers and aid in developing targeted interventions to combat malaria effectively.
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