Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38970498›Full record

ArticleJournal of natural products2024

Natural Products Have Increased Rates of Clinical Trial Success throughout the Drug Development Process.

Daniel Domingo-Fernández, Yojana Gadiya, António José Preto, Christoph A Krettler, Sarah Mubeen, August Allen, David Healey, Viswa Colluru

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of natural products, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 37 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed.

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  16. Mapping antimicrobials in plant lineages.Frontiers in plant science · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Daniel Domingo-FernándezEnveda Biosciences, 5700 Flatiron Parkway, Boulder, Colorado 80301, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-2046-6145
Yojana GadiyaEnveda Biosciences, 5700 Flatiron Parkway, Boulder, Colorado 80301, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-7683-0452
António José PretoEnveda Biosciences, 5700 Flatiron Parkway, Boulder, Colorado 80301, United States.
Christoph A KrettlerEnveda Biosciences, 5700 Flatiron Parkway, Boulder, Colorado 80301, United States.
Sarah MubeenEnveda Biosciences, 5700 Flatiron Parkway, Boulder, Colorado 80301, United States.
August AllenEnveda Biosciences, 5700 Flatiron Parkway, Boulder, Colorado 80301, United States.
David HealeyEnveda Biosciences, 5700 Flatiron Parkway, Boulder, Colorado 80301, United States.
Viswa ColluruEnveda Biosciences, 5700 Flatiron Parkway, Boulder, Colorado 80301, United States.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Natural products (NPs) or their derivatives represent a large proportion of drugs that successfully progress through clinical trials to approval. This study explores the presence of NPs in both early- and late-stage drug discovery to determine their success rate, and the factors or features of natural products that contribute to such success. As a proxy for early drug development stages, we analyzed patent applications over several decades, finding a consistent proportion of NP, NP-derived, and synthetic-compound-based patent documents, with the latter group outnumbering NP and NP-derived ones (approximately 77% vs 23%). We next assessed clinical trial data, where we observed a steady increase in NP and NP-derived compounds from clinical trial phases I to III (from approximately 35% in phase I to 45% in phase III), with an inverse trend observed in synthetics (from approximately 65% in phase I to 55% in phase III). Finally,

Indexed as

Biological ProductsDrug DevelopmentClinical Trials as TopicDrug DiscoveryHumansMolecular StructureBiological Products

Identifiers

PMID38970498
PMCPMC11287737

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.