Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38969477›Full record

Observational studyThe Lancet. Planetary health2024

High ambient temperature in pregnancy and risk of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia: an observational study.

Tormod Rogne, Rong Wang, Pin Wang, Nicole C Deziel, Catherine Metayer, Joseph L Wiemels, Kai Chen, Joshua L Warren, Xiaomei Ma

Registry-linked trialAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in The Lancet. Planetary health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07124949 (Chinese Migrant Population Health Cohort), which is not on this map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07124949 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Chinese Migrant Population Health Cohort

TypeobservationalSponsorJinwei TianRan2025 to 2030Enrolled26,000ConditionsCardiovascular Diseases, Metabolic Disorders, Ageing and Geriatric Health, Climate AdaptationArmsNo intervention
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Gene-Temperature Interactions and Risk of Childhood Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Tormod RogneDepartment of Chronic Disease Epidemiology, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA; Center for Perinatal, Pediatric and Environmental Epidemiology, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA. Electronic address: tormod.rogne@yale.edu.
Rong WangDepartment of Chronic Disease Epidemiology, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Pin WangDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Nicole C DezielDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Catherine MetayerSchool of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Joseph L WiemelsCenter for Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Kai ChenDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Joshua L WarrenDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Xiaomei MaDepartment of Chronic Disease Epidemiology, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Yale Pathology Tissue Services Shared ResourceP30CA016359 · NCI · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Eric P. Winer · 1985 to 2026
$85.0M
Extreme heat events and pregnancy duration: a national studyR01ES028346 · NIEHS · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI CHANG, HOWARD H, DARROW, LYNDSEY · 2018 to 2024
$2.7M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NCCDPHP CDC HHS NU58DP006344NCI NIH HHS HHSN261201800009CNCI NIH HHS HHSN261201800009INCI NIH HHS HHSN261201800015CNCI NIH HHS HHSN261201800015INCI NIH HHS HHSN261201800032CNCI NIH HHS HHSN261201800032INCI NIH HHS P30 CA016359NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES028346
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHigh ambient temperature is increasingly common due to climate change and is associated with risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes. Acute lymphoblastic leukaemia is the most common malignancy in children, the incidence is increasing, and in the USA disproportionately affects Latino children. We aimed to investigate the potential association between high ambient temperature in pregnancy and risk of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia.

methodsWe used data from California birth records (children born from Jan 1, 1982, to Dec 31, 2015) and California Cancer Registry (those diagnosed with childhood cancer in California from Jan 1, 1988, to Dec 31, 2015) to identify acute lymphoblastic leukaemia cases diagnosed in infants and children aged 14 years and younger and controls matched by sex, race, ethnicity, and date of last menstrual period. Ambient temperatures were estimated on a 1-km grid. The association between ambient temperature and acute lymphoblastic leukaemia was evaluated per gestational week, restricted to May-September, adjusting for confounders. Bayesian meta-regression was applied to identify critical exposure windows. For sensitivity analyses, we evaluated a 90-day pre-pregnancy period (assuming no direct effect before pregnancy), adjusted for relative humidity and particulate matter less than 2·5 microns in aerodynamic diameter, and constructed an alternatively matched dataset for exposure contrast by seasonality.

findings6849 cases of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia were identified and, of these, 6258 had sufficient data for study inclusion. We also included 307 579 matched controls. Most of the study population were male (174 693 [55·7%] of the 313 837 included in the study) and of Latino ethnicity (174 906 [55·7%]). The peak association between ambient temperature and risk of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia was observed in gestational week 8, where a 5°C increase was associated with an odds ratio of 1·07 (95% CI 1·04-1·11). A slightly larger effect was seen among Latino children (OR 1·09 [95% CI 1·04-1·14]) than non-Latino White children (OR 1·05 [1·00-1·11]). The sensitivity analyses supported the results of the main analysis.

interpretationOur findings suggest an association between high ambient temperature in early pregnancy and risk of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia. Further replication and investigation of mechanistic pathways might inform mitigation strategies.

fundingYale Center on Climate Change and Health, The National Center for Advancing Translational Science, National Institutes of Health.

Indexed as

Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-LymphomaAdolescentCaliforniaChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHispanic or LatinoHot TemperatureHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMalePregnancyRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID38969477
PMCPMC11260908

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.