ArticleChina CDC weekly2024
Exploring the Lagged Correlation Between Baidu Index and Influenza-Like Illness - China, 2014-2019.
Article in China CDC weekly, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- Toward Drift-Aware Multimodal Early Warning for Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.JMIR medical informatics · 2026Article
- Fusing meteorological factors and baidu search index with an adapted deformtime model to predict influenza-like illness in Beijing.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- How online public opinion evolves before and after policy adjustments in response to major public health emergencies.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
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Authors and funding
12 authors.
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Abstract
Introduction: This study investigated the lagged correlation between Baidu Index for influenza-related keywords and influenza-like illness percentage (ILI%) across regions in China. The aim is to establish a scientific foundation for utilizing Baidu Index as an early warning tool for influenza-like illness epidemics. Methods: In this study, data on ILI% and Baidu Index were collected from 30 provincial-level administrative divisions (PLADs) spanning April 2014 to March 2019. The Baidu Index was categorized into Overall Index, Ordinary Index, Prevention Index, Symptom Index, and Treatment Index based on search query themes. The lagged correlation between the Baidu Index and ILI% was examined through the cross-correlation function (CCF) method. Results: Correlating the Baidu Overall Index of 30 PLADs with ILI% revealed CCF values ranging from 0.46 to 0.86, with a median lag of 0.5 days. Subcategory analysis indicated that the Prevention Index and Symptom Index exhibited quicker responses to ILI%, with median lags of -9 and -0.5 days, respectively, compared to 0 and 3 days for the Ordinary and Treatment Indexes. The median lag days between the Baidu Index and the ILI% were earlier in the northern PLADs compared to the southern PLADs. Discussion: The Prevention and Symptom Indexes show promising predictive capabilities for influenza-like illness epidemics.
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