ArticleNature communications2024
Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea.
Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- From plankton to fish: 21st-century redistribution of marine biodiversity and the changing role of rare species.Science advances · 2026Article
- Harnessing macrogenomics to study changing marine ecosystems under global climate change.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2026Review
- Long-term warming reduces fish biomass, but heatwaves shift it.Nature ecology & evolution · 2026Article
- Spatial Pattern of Spring Mesozooplankton in the Marginal Ice Zone (Northern Barents Sea).Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2026Article
- Environmental Responses and Interspecific Associations of Fish Communities in the Zhoushan Fishing Ground Revealed by HMSC.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2026Article
- How different life-history strategies respond to changing environments: a multi-decadal study of groundfish communities.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Biogeographical Regions and Climate Change: Lanternfishes Shed Light on the Role of Climatic Barriers in the Southern Ocean.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Fire-driven disruptions of global soil biochemical relationships.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea.Nature communications · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Climate warming is one of the facets of anthropogenic global change predicted to increase in the future, its magnitude depending on present-day decisions. The north Atlantic and Arctic Oceans are already undergoing community changes, with warmer-water species expanding northwards, and colder-water species retracting. However, the future extent and implications of these shifts remain unclear. Here, we fitted a joint species distribution model to occurrence data of 107, and biomass data of 61 marine fish species from 16,345 fishery independent trawls sampled between 2004 and 2022 in the northeast Atlantic Ocean, including the Barents Sea. We project overall increases in richness and declines in relative dominance in the community, and generalised increases in species' ranges and biomass across three different future scenarios in 2050 and 2100. The projected decline of capelin and the practical extirpation of polar cod from the system, the two most abundant species in the Barents Sea, drove an overall reduction in fish biomass at Arctic latitudes that is not replaced by expanding species. Furthermore, our projections suggest that Arctic demersal fish will be at high risk of extinction by the end of the century if no climate refugia is available at eastern latitudes.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.