Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38965151›Full record

ArticlePharmacoEconomics - open2024

A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Adjuvant Nivolumab for Patients with Resected Esophageal Cancer or Gastroesophageal Junction Cancer in France.

Paul Casabianca, Marc Massetti, François-Emery Cotte, Romain Moreau, Sarah Kassahun, Prianka Singh, Inkyu Kim, Anne-Françoise Gaudin, Guillaume Piessen, Henri Leleu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PharmacoEconomics - open, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Paul CasabiancaHealth Economics & Outcomes Research, Bristol Myers Squibb France, 92500, Rueil-Malmaison, France. Paul.Casabianca@bms.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-9980-5807
Marc MassettiHealth Economics & Outcomes Research, Public Health Expertise, 75004, Paris, France.
François-Emery CotteHealth Economics & Outcomes Research, Bristol Myers Squibb France, 92500, Rueil-Malmaison, France.
Romain MoreauHealth Economics & Outcomes Research, Public Health Expertise, 75004, Paris, France.
Sarah KassahunHealth Economics & Outcomes Research, Bristol Myers Squibb UK, Uxbridge, UK.
Prianka SinghWorldwide Health Economics & Outcomes Research, Bristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ, 002627, USA.
Inkyu KimWorldwide Health Economics & Outcomes Research, Bristol Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ, 002627, USA.
Anne-Françoise GaudinHealth Economics & Outcomes Research, Bristol Myers Squibb France, 92500, Rueil-Malmaison, France.
Guillaume PiessenDepartment of Digestive and Oncological Surgery, Claude Huriez Hospital, Chu Lille, 59000, Lille, France.
Henri LeleuHealth Economics & Outcomes Research, Public Health Expertise, 75004, Paris, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionEsophageal and gastroesophageal junction cancer (EC/GEJC) is a poor prognosis disease with a high risk of recurrence even in patients curatively resected. Adjuvant nivolumab is currently used for patients with completely resected (R0) EC/GEJC who have residual pathologic disease following prior neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. This study aimed to determine the cost effectiveness of nivolumab in this indication in France according to the collective perspective excluding indirect costs. MATERIALS AND

methodsA simplified four-health-state semi-Markov model was developed to model EC/GEJC patients who have residual disease after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by R0 over a 15-year time horizon, comparing adjuvant nivolumab versus surveillance, which was the recommended French clinical practice before immunotherapy arrival. Time-to-recurrence (TTR) from CheckMate 577 was used to inform transition from disease-free to post-recurrence health state; patients who recurred were split according to the distribution of type of recurrence observed during the trial. Post-recurrence survival (PRS) according to the type of recurrence was derived from a real-world registry.

resultsAdjuvant treatment with nivolumab led to an incremental survival gain of 1.19 years (+ 34%), mostly in the disease-free state, an incremental cost of €48,634 and QALY of 0.98 resulting in an incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) of €49,572/QALY with limited uncertainty. 'Cure assumption' at 5 years had an important impact on the results (€41,115/QALY; - 17%), as that tends to increase life-years and QALYs while costs remain the same. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses confirmed reference ICUR (€52,542/QALY) with 80% probability of nivolumab being cost effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of €75,000/QALY.

conclusionsOur analysis suggests that adjuvant nivolumab is cost effective in the treatment of EC/GEJC patients who have residual disease after neoadjuvant CRT followed by R0 resection. Compared with previously evaluated cost-effectiveness analyses for other immune-checkpoint inhibitors indicated in metastatic settings, ICUR appears particularly low in this early setting thanks to the important impact on health outcomes and capped treatment duration.

Identifiers

PMID38965151
PMCPMC11362429

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.