Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38962698›Full record

ArticleGeoHealth2024

Forecasting West Nile Virus With Graph Neural Networks: Harnessing Spatial Dependence in Irregularly Sampled Geospatial Data.

Adam Tonks, Trevor Harris, Bo Li, William Brown, Rebecca Smith

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in GeoHealth, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Neural networks for geospatial data.Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Adam TonksDepartment of Statistics University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Champaign IL USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2285-9660
Trevor HarrisDepartment of Statistics Texas A&M University College Station TX USA.
Bo LiDepartment of Statistics University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Champaign IL USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7344-1160
William BrownDepartment of Pathobiology University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Champaign IL USA.
Rebecca SmithDepartment of Pathobiology University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Champaign IL USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8343-794X

Funding

NCEZID CDC HHS U01 CK000505NCEZID CDC HHS U01 CK000651
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Machine learning methods have seen increased application to geospatial environmental problems, such as precipitation nowcasting, haze forecasting, and crop yield prediction. However, many of the machine learning methods applied to mosquito population and disease forecasting do not inherently take into account the underlying spatial structure of the given data. In our work, we apply a spatially aware graph neural network model consisting of GraphSAGE layers to forecast the presence of West Nile virus in Illinois, to aid mosquito surveillance and abatement efforts within the state. More generally, we show that graph neural networks applied to irregularly sampled geospatial data can exceed the performance of a range of baseline methods including logistic regression, XGBoost, and fully-connected neural networks.

Indexed as

forecastinggeospatialgraph neural networkIllinoismachine learningmosquitopredictionspatial dependenceWest Nile virus

Identifiers

PMID38962698
PMCPMC11220409

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.