Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38960664›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2025

Temporal changes in the risk of six-month post-COVID symptoms: a national population-based cohort study.

Anne Pastorello, Laurence Meyer, Joël Coste, Camille Davisse-Paturet, Xavier de Lamballerie, Maria Melchior, Sophie Novelli, Delphine Rahib, Nathalie Bajos, Cécile Vuillermoz and 5 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Understanding how social determinants of health shape Long COVID outcomes: a rapid review of evidence.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Anne PastorelloParis-Saclay University, University of Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, Center for Epidemiology and Population Health, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France.ORCID 0000-0001-9675-0866
Laurence MeyerParis-Saclay University, University of Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, Center for Epidemiology and Population Health, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France.
Joël CosteDepartment of Non-Communicable Diseases and Injuries, French Public Health Agency, Saint-Maurice, France.
Camille Davisse-PaturetParis-Saclay University, University of Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, Center for Epidemiology and Population Health, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France.
Xavier de LamballerieEmerging Viruses Unit, Aix-Marseille University, French National Research Institute for Sustainable Development 190 - National Institute of Health and Medical Research, University Hospital Institute Méditerranée Infection, Marseille, France.
Maria MelchiorPierre Louis Institute of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sorbonne University, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, Paris, France.
Sophie NovelliParis-Saclay University, University of Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, Center for Epidemiology and Population Health, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France.ORCID 0000-0003-0154-9786
Delphine RahibDepartment of Non-Communicable Diseases and Injuries, French Public Health Agency, Saint-Maurice, France.
Nathalie BajosInterdisciplinary Institute of Social Issues - social sciences, politics, health, French National Center for Scientific Research, School for Advanced Studies in Social Sciences, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, Aubervilliers, France.
Cécile VuillermozParis-Saclay University, University of Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, Center for Epidemiology and Population Health, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France.
Jeanna-Eve FranckInterdisciplinary Institute of Social Issues - social sciences, politics, health, French National Center for Scientific Research, School for Advanced Studies in Social Sciences, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, Aubervilliers, France.
Carmelite MantoParis-Saclay University, University of Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, Center for Epidemiology and Population Health, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France.
Alexandra RouquetteParis-Saclay University, University of Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, Center for Epidemiology and Population Health, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France.
Josiane WarszawskiParis-Saclay University, University of Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, National Institute of Health and Medical Research, Center for Epidemiology and Population Health, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France.
EpiCov study group

Funding

European Union's Horizon 2020 101016167National Institute of Health and Medical Research
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

It is unclear how the risk of post-COVID symptoms evolved during the pandemic, especially before the spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 variants and the availability of vaccines. We used modified Poisson regressions to compare the risk of six-month post-COVID symptoms and their associated risk factors according to the period of first acute COVID: during the French first (March-May 2020) or second (September-November 2020) wave. Nonresponse weights and multiple imputation were used to handle missing data. Among participants aged 15 years or older in a national population-based cohort, the risk of post-COVID symptoms was 14.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 13.9%-15.3%) in March-May 2020, vs 7.0% (95% CI, 6.3%-7.7%) in September-November 2020 (adjusted relative risk [RR], 1.36; 95% CI, 1.20-1.55). For both periods, the risk was higher in the presence of baseline physical condition(s), and it increased with the number of acute symptoms. During the first wave, the risk was also higher for women, in the presence of baseline mental condition(s), and it varied with educational level. In France in 2020, the risk of six-month post-COVID symptoms was higher during the first than the second wave. This difference was observed before the spread of variants and the availability of vaccines.

Indexed as

COVID-19AdolescentAdultAgedCohort StudiesFemaleFranceHumansMaleMiddle AgedPost-Acute COVID-19 SyndromeRisk FactorsSARS-CoV-2Time FactorsYoung AdultcohortCOVID-19long COVIDmultiple imputationpopulation-basedpost-COVID symptomsSARS-Cov-2survey weights

Identifiers

PMID38960664
PMCPMC11735949

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.