Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38959330›Full record

ArticleEuropean heart journal. Cardiovascular Imaging2024

Cardiac mechanics and the risk of atrial fibrillation in a community-based cohort of older adults.

Riccardo M Inciardi, Wendy Wang, Alvaro Alonso, Elsayed Z Soliman, Senthil Selvaraj, Alexandra Gonçalves, Michael J Zhang, Alvin Chandra, Narayana G Prasad, Hicham Skali and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European heart journal. Cardiovascular Imaging, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Time's imprint on the left atrium: aging and atrial myopathy.The journal of cardiovascular aging · 2025
    Article
  6. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Riccardo M InciardiCardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4846-8529
Wendy WangDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, MN, USA.
Alvaro AlonsoDepartment of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2225-8323
Elsayed Z SolimanSection on Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, USA.
Senthil SelvarajDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, USA.
Alexandra GonçalvesPhilips Healthcare, 3000 Minuteman Road, Andover, MA, USA.
Michael J ZhangDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, MN, USA.
Alvin ChandraDepartment of Internal Medicine, Division of Cardiology, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.
Narayana G PrasadCardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Hicham SkaliCardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Amil M ShahCardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Scott D SolomonCardiovascular Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Lin Yee ChenCardiovascular Division, Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota Medical School, 420 Delaware Street SE, MMC 508, Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0700-814X

Funding

Mapping the Progression to HFpEF in the Elderly through Longitudinal Changes in Cardiac FunctionR01HL135008 · NHLBI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI Amil M Shah · 2017 to 2026
$11.5M
Cardiovascular Disease Epidemiology &Prevention TrngT32HL007779 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI PAMELA L. Lutsey, JAMES S PANKOW · 1994 to 2026
$9.3M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL135008NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007779
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsAssessment of cardiac structure and function improves risk prediction of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in different populations. We aimed to comprehensively compare standard and newer measures of cardiac structure and function in improving prediction of AF in a cohort of older adults without history of AF and stroke. METHODS AND

resultsWe included 5050 participants without prevalent AF and stroke (mean age 75 ± 5 years, 59% women, and 22% Black) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study who underwent complete two-dimensional echocardiography, including speckle-tracking analysis of the left ventricle (LV) and left atrium (LA). We assessed the association of cardiac measures with incident AF (including atrial flutter) and quantified the extent to which these measures improved model discrimination and risk classification of AF compared with the CHARGE-AF score. Over a median follow-up time of 7 years, 676 participants developed AF (incidence rate 2.13 per 100 person-years). LV mass index and wall thickness, E/e', and measures of LA structure and function, but not LV systolic function, were associated with incident AF, after accounting for confounders. Above all, LA reservoir strain, contraction strain, and LA minimal volume index (C-statistics [95% confidence interval]: 0.73 [0.70, 0.75], 0.72 [0.70, 0.75], and 0.72 [0.69, 0.75], respectively) significantly improved the risk discrimination of the CHARGE-AF score (baseline C-statistic: 0.68 [0.65, 0.70]) and achieved the highest category-based net reclassification improvement (29%, 24%, and 20%, respectively).

conclusionIn a large cohort of older adults without prevalent AF and stroke, measures of LA function improved the prediction of AF more than other conventional cardiac measures.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationEchocardiographyAgedCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsUnited Statesatrial fibrillationleft atriumspeckle-tracking echocardiography

Identifiers

PMID38959330
PMCPMC12098937

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.