Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38957842›Full record

ArticleJAAD international2024

Incidence and mortality trends of primary cutaneous melanoma: A 50-year Rochester Epidemiologic Project study.

Jacob P Reinhart, Elliott H Campbell, Sydney L Proffer, Olivia M Crum, Austin Todd, Lawrence E Gibson, Jerry D Brewer, Addison M Demer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JAAD international, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Jacob P ReinhartDepartment of Dermatology, Mayo Clinic School of Graduate Medical Education, Rochester, Minnesota.
Elliott H CampbellDepartment of Dermatology, Mayo Clinic School of Graduate Medical Education, Rochester, Minnesota.
Sydney L ProfferDepartment of Dermatology, Mayo Clinic School of Graduate Medical Education, Rochester, Minnesota.
Olivia M CrumDepartment of Dermatology, Mayo Clinic School of Graduate Medical Education, Rochester, Minnesota.
Austin ToddDivision of Clinical Trials and Biostatistics, Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Lawrence E GibsonDivision of Dermatopathology, Department of Dermatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Jerry D BrewerDivision of Dermatologic Surgery, Department of Dermatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Addison M DemerDivision of Dermatologic Surgery, Department of Dermatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.

Funding

Interdisciplinary Infrastructure for Aging Research: Rochester Epidemiology ProjectR33AG058738 · NIA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI LEBRASSEUR, NATHAN K, OLSON, JANET E · 2020 to 2022
$2.4M
NIA NIH HHS R33 AG058738
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: National cancer reporting-based registry data, although robust, lacks granularity for incidence trends. Expert opinion remains conflicted regarding the possibility of melanoma overdiagnosis in the context of rising incidence without a corresponding rise in mortality. Objective: To characterize 10- and 50-year trends in melanoma incidence and mortality. Methods: Multicenter, population-based epidemiologic study utilizing the Rochester Epidemiology Project for Olmsted County, Minnesota residents diagnosed with melanoma from 01/01/1970 to 12/21/2020. Age- and sex-adjusted incidence and disease-specific mortality are calculated. Results: Two thousand three hundred ten primary cutaneous melanomas were identified. Current age- and sex-adjusted incidence rates increased 11.1-fold since 1970s ( Limitations: Retrospective nature and focused geographic investigation. Conclusion: Melanoma incidence has continued to increase over the past decade, most significantly in females aged 40+. Trend variations among age and sex cohorts suggests external factors beyond overdiagnosis may be responsible. Disease-specific mortality of melanoma continues to decrease over the last 50 years.

Indexed as

age distributionepidemiologyfemaleincidencemalemelanomamorbiditymortalityoverdiagnosisskin cancerskin neoplasmssurvival rate

Identifiers

PMID38957842
PMCPMC11217686

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.