Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38950370›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024

Global impacts of an extreme solar particle event under different geomagnetic field strengths.

Pavle Arsenović, Eugene Rozanov, Ilya Usoskin, Chris Turney, Timofei Sukhodolov, Ken McCracken, Marina Friedel, Julien Anet, Stana Simić, Ville Maliniemi and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. The Effects of FeedingMicroorganisms · 2025
    Article
  3. Review
  4. Global impacts of an extreme solar particle event under different geomagnetic field strengths.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Pavle ArsenovićInstitute of Meteorology and Climatology, Department of Water, Atmosphere, and Environment, BOKU University, Vienna 1180, Austria.ORCID 0000-0001-8844-7007
Eugene RozanovPhysikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos und World Radiation Center (PMOD/WRC), Davos 7260, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-0479-4488
Ilya UsoskinSpace Physics and Astronomy Research Unit, University of Oulu, Oulu 90014, Finland.
Chris TurneyInstitute for Sustainable Futures, Division of Research, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, NSW 2007, Australia.
Timofei SukhodolovPhysikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos und World Radiation Center (PMOD/WRC), Davos 7260, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-7100-738X
Ken McCrackenInstitute for Sustainable Futures, Division of Research, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, NSW 2007, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-0446-3585
Marina FriedelInstitute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH, Zürich 8092, Switzerland.
Julien AnetFederal Office of Meteorology and Climatology, MeteoSwiss, Zurich 8058, Switzerland.
Stana SimićInstitute of Meteorology and Climatology, Department of Water, Atmosphere, and Environment, BOKU University, Vienna 1180, Austria.ORCID 0000-0001-9560-7590
Ville MaliniemiWater, Energy and Environmental Engineering Research Unit, University of Oulu, Oulu 90014, Finland.
Tatiana EgorovaPhysikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos und World Radiation Center (PMOD/WRC), Davos 7260, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-8300-3642
Monika KorteGeophysics Department, Helmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam - Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam 14473, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-2970-9075
Harald RiederInstitute of Meteorology and Climatology, Department of Water, Atmosphere, and Environment, BOKU University, Vienna 1180, Austria.ORCID 0000-0003-2705-0801
Alan CooperGulbali Institute, Charles Sturt University, Albury, NSW 2640, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-7738-7851
Thomas PeterInstitute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH, Zürich 8092, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-7218-7156

Funding

Department of Education and Training | Australian Research Council (ARC) ARC DP170104665Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation (Minobrnauki of Russia) 075-15-2021-583Research Council of Finland (AKA) 354280Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (SNF) 200020-182239
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Solar particle events (SPEs) are short-lived bursts of high-energy particles from the solar atmosphere and are widely recognized as posing significant economic risks to modern society. Most SPEs are relatively weak and have minor impacts on the Earth's environment, but historic records contain much stronger SPEs which have the potential to alter atmospheric chemistry, impacting climate and biological life. The impacts of such strong SPEs would be far more severe when the Earth's protective geomagnetic field is weak, such as during past geomagnetic excursions or reversals. Here, we model the impacts of an extreme SPE under different geomagnetic field strengths, focusing on changes in atmospheric chemistry and surface radiation using the atmosphere-ocean-chemistry-climate model SOCOL3-MPIOM and the radiation transfer model LibRadtran. Under current geomagnetic conditions, an extreme SPE would increase NO

Indexed as

geomagnetic excursiongeomagnetic fieldozoneradiation dosesolar particle event

Identifiers

PMID38950370
PMCPMC11252817

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.