Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38942937›Full record

ArticleNature food2024

Climate adaptation through crop migration requires a nexus perspective for environmental sustainability in the North China Plain.

Weiyi Gu, Guosong Ma, Rui Wang, Laura Scherer, Pan He, Longlong Xia, Yuyao Zhu, Jun Bi, Beibei Liu

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature food, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Weiyi Gu *State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse School of Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, P. R. China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4777-3524
Guosong Ma *State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse School of Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, P. R. China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4392-6474
Rui WangState Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse School of Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, P. R. China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0413-7410
Laura SchererInstitute of Environmental Sciences (CML), Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0194-9942
Pan HeSchool of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1088-6290
Longlong XiaState Key Laboratory of Soil and Sustainable Agriculture, Changshu National Agro-Ecosystem Observation and Research Station, Institute of Soil Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing, P. R. China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4026-4265
Yuyao ZhuCollege of Environmental Science and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing, P. R. China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4443-886X
Jun BiState Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse School of Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, P. R. China. jbi@nju.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9591-4806
Beibei LiuState Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse School of Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing, P. R. China. lbeibei@nju.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3788-018X

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 71921003National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 72174085
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Crop migration can moderate the impacts of global warming on crop production, but its feedback on the climate and environment remains unknown. Here we develop an integrated framework to capture the climate impacts and the feedback of adaptation behaviours with the land-water-energy-carbon nexus perspective and identify opportunities to achieve the synergies between climate adaptation and environmental sustainability. We apply the framework to assess wheat and maize migration in the North China Plain and show that adaptation through wheat migration could increase crop production by ~18.5% in the 2050s, but at the cost of disproportional increment in land use (~19.2%), water use (~20.2%), energy use (~19.5%) and carbon emissions (~19.9%). Irrigation and fertilization management are critical mitigation opportunities in the framework, through which wheat migration can be optimized to reduce the climatic and environmental impacts and avoid potential carbon leakage. Our work highlights the sustainable climate adaptation to mitigate negative environmental externalities.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeCrops, AgriculturalTriticumZea maysAgricultureChinaConservation of Natural ResourcesGlobal Warming

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.