Identifying hemodynamic factors associated with the rupture of anterior communicating artery aneurysms based on global modeling of blood flow in the cerebral artery network.

Anterior communicating artery (ACoA) aneurysms are more prone to rupture compared to aneurysms present in other cerebral arteries. We hypothesize that systemic blood flow in the cerebral artery network plays an important role in shaping intra-aneurysmal hemodynamic environment thereby affecting the rupture risk of ACoA aneurysms. The majority of existing numerical studies in this field employed local modeling methods where the physical boundaries of a model are confined to the aneurysm region, which, though having the benefit of reducing computational cost, may compromise the physiological fidelity of numerical results due to insufficient account of systemic cerebral arterial hemodynamics. In the present study, we firstly carried out numerical experiments to address the difference between the outcomes of local and global modeling methods, demonstrating that local modeling confined to the aneurysm region results in inaccurate predictions of hemodynamic parameters compared with global modeling of the ACoA aneurysm as part of the cerebral artery network. Motivated by this finding, we built global hemodynamic models for 40 ACoA aneurysms (including 20 ruptured and 20 unruptured ones) based on medical image data. Statistical analysis of the computed hemodynamic data revealed that maximum wall shear stress (WSS), minimum WSS divergence, and maximum WSS gradient differed significantly between the ruptured and unruptured ACoA aneurysms. Optimal threshold values of high/low WSS metrics were determined through a series of statistical tests. In the meantime, some morphological parameters of aneurysms, such as large nonsphericity index, aspect ratio, and bottleneck factor, were found to be associated closely with aneurysm rupture. Furthermore, multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to derive models combining hemodynamic and morphological parameters for discriminating the rupture status of aneurysms. The capability of the models in rupture status discrimination was high, with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve reaching up to 0.9. The findings of the study suggest that global modeling of the cerebral artery network is essential for reliable quantification of hemodynamics in ACoA aneurysms, disturbed WSS and irregular aneurysm morphology are associated closely with aneurysm rupture, and multivariate models integrating hemodynamic and morphological parameters have high potential for assessing the rupture risk of ACoA aneurysms.