Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38937438›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Hydropower capacity factors trending down in the United States.

Sean W D Turner, Ganesh R Ghimire, Carly Hansen, Debjani Singh, Shih-Chieh Kao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Creeping snow drought threatens Canada's water supply.Communications earth & environment · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Sean W D TurnerEnvironmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, 37831, USA. turnersw@ornl.gov.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4400-9800
Ganesh R GhimireEnvironmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, 37831, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4284-3941
Carly HansenEnvironmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, 37831, USA.
Debjani SinghEnvironmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, 37831, USA.
Shih-Chieh KaoEnvironmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, 37831, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3207-5328

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The United States hydropower fleet has faced increasing environmental and regulatory pressures over the last half century, potentially constraining total generation. Here we show that annual capacity factor has declined at four fifths of United States hydropower plants since 1980, with two thirds of decreasing trends significant at p < 0.05. Results are based on an analysis of annual energy generation totals and nameplate capacities for 610 plants (>5 megawatt), representing 87% of total conventional hydropower capacity in the United States. On aggregate, changes in capacity factor imply a fleetwide, cumulative generation decrease of 23% since 1980 before factoring in capacity upgrades-akin to retiring a Hoover Dam once every two to three years. Changes in water availability explain energy decline in only 21% of plants, highlighting the importance of non-climatic drivers of generation, including deterioration of plant equipment as well as changes to dam operations in support of nonpower objectives.

Identifiers

PMID38937438
PMCPMC11211397

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.