Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38926617›Full record

ArticleNature2024

Explainable El Niño predictability from climate mode interactions.

Sen Zhao, Fei-Fei Jin, Malte F Stuecker, Philip R Thompson, Jong-Seong Kug, Michael J McPhaden, Mark A Cane, Andrew T Wittenberg, Wenju Cai

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Identifying key convection-sensitive oceanic regions to weaken the ENSO spring predictability barrier.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Abrupt shift of El Niño periodicity under COProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Sen ZhaoDepartment of Atmospheric Sciences, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST), University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5597-1109
Fei-Fei JinDepartment of Atmospheric Sciences, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST), University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, USA. jff@hawaii.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5101-2296
Malte F StueckerInternational Pacific Research Center, SOEST, University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8355-0662
Philip R ThompsonDepartment of Oceanography, SOEST, University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0875-4208
Jong-Seong KugSchool of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2251-2579
Michael J McPhadenNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8423-5805
Mark A CaneLamont Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5408-2388
Andrew T WittenbergNOAA/OAR/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1680-8963
Wenju CaiFrontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System, Physical Oceanography Laboratory, and Sanya Oceanographic Institution, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6520-0829

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) provides most of the global seasonal climate forecast skill

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.