ArticleScience advances2024
Cumulative risk of future bleaching for the world's coral reefs.
Article in Science advances, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
30 citing papers in PubMed.
- Rapid coral bleaching recovery via symbiont transfer from healthy corals.Science advances · 2026Article
- Evaluating the protection status and exposure to warming of Caribbean reefs with high functional potential.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026Article
- Sediment burial reduces coral larval settlement, recruit survivorship, and inhibits the recovery of coral populations.Communications biology · 2026Article
- Extracellular electron transfer by the cultured coral photosymbiont Symbiodinium microadriaticum.Photosynthesis research · 2026Article
- Marine protected areas marginally offset anthropogenic declines in tropical reef fish contributions to nature and people.Nature ecology & evolution · 2026Article
- Effects of temperature, hyposalinity, and diminishing sperm concentration on fertilisation and embryonic development in Acropora tumida and Platygyra carnosa.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Coral reef fish may be more important than we thought.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Characterization of long noncoding RNAs, microRNAs, and piwiRNAs in reef-building corals.Environmental epigenetics · 2026Article
- Coral relocation supports survival and growth in an urban reef of the Maldives.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Resolving coral temperature vulnerability through heat and cold bleaching thresholds.Communications biology · 2025Article
- Global coral genomic vulnerability explains recent reef losses.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Too hot for my bugs: mediterranean heatwave disrupts associated microbiomes in the sponge Petrosia ficiformis.Environmental microbiome · 2025Article
- Article
- Coral cover and species responses to heat exposure vary across contemporary Western Atlantic reefs.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- A rapidly closing window for coral persistence under global warming.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Coral Bleaching: The Equatorial-Refugia Hypothesis.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Comparative Proteomic Analysis of Non-Bleached and Bleached Fragments of the HydrocoralBiology · 2025Article
- Technology Solutions for Overcoming the Coral Recruitment Bottleneck.Environmental science & technology · 2025Article
- Drivers of physical connectivity between coral reefs along the Southeast African coastline.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Highlighting the resilience potential of marine protected areas in the face of coral bleaching with passive acoustic monitoring.Royal Society open science · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Spatial and temporal patterns of future coral bleaching are uncertain, hampering global conservation efforts to protect coral reefs against climate change. Our analysis of daily projections of ocean warming establishes the severity, annual duration, and onset of severe bleaching risk for global coral reefs this century, pinpointing vital climatic refugia. We show that low-latitude coral regions are most vulnerable to thermal stress and will experience little reprieve from climate mitigation. By 2080, coral bleaching is likely to start on most reefs in spring, rather than late summer, with year-round bleaching risk anticipated to be high for some low-latitude reefs regardless of global efforts to mitigate harmful greenhouse gasses. By identifying Earth's reef regions that are at lowest risk of accelerated bleaching, our results will prioritize efforts to limit future loss of coral reef biodiversity.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.