Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38920346›Full record

ArticleBriefings in bioinformatics2024

Phylogenetic inference of inter-population transmission rates for infectious diseases.

Skylar A Gay, Gregory Ellison, Jianing Xu, Jialin Yang, Yiliang Wei, Shaoyuan Wu, Lili Yu, Christopher C Whalen, Jonathan Arnold, Liang Liu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Briefings in bioinformatics, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Skylar A GayInstitute of Bioinformatics, University of Georgia, 120 Green Street, Athens, GA 30602, United States.
Gregory EllisonDepartment of Statistics, University of Georgia, 310 Herty Drive, Athens, GA 30602, United States.
Jianing XuDepartment of Statistics, University of Georgia, 310 Herty Drive, Athens, GA 30602, United States.
Jialin YangDepartment of Statistics, University of Georgia, 310 Herty Drive, Athens, GA 30602, United States.
Yiliang WeiJiangsu Key Laboratory of Phylogenomics and Comparative Genomics, Jiangsu International Joint Center of Genomics, School of Life Sciences, Jiangsu Normal University, 101 Shanghai Road, Xuzhou, Jiangsu 221116, China.
Shaoyuan WuJiangsu Key Laboratory of Phylogenomics and Comparative Genomics, Jiangsu International Joint Center of Genomics, School of Life Sciences, Jiangsu Normal University, 101 Shanghai Road, Xuzhou, Jiangsu 221116, China.
Lili YuDepartment of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Environmental Health Sciences, College of Public Health, Georgia Southern University, 1332 Southern Drive, Statesboro, GA 30677, United States.
Christopher C WhalenGlobal Health Institute, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, University of Georgia, 100 Foster Road, Athens, GA 30602, United States.
Jonathan ArnoldInstitute of Bioinformatics, University of Georgia, 120 Green Street, Athens, GA 30602, United States.
Liang LiuInstitute of Bioinformatics, University of Georgia, 120 Green Street, Athens, GA 30602, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-0568-4264

Funding

National Science Foundation NSF DBI-2029595
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Estimating transmission rates is a challenging yet essential aspect of comprehending and controlling the spread of infectious diseases. Various methods exist for estimating transmission rates, each with distinct assumptions, data needs, and constraints. This study introduces a novel phylogenetic approach called transRate, which integrates genetic information with traditional epidemiological approaches to estimate inter-population transmission rates. The phylogenetic method is statistically consistent as the sample size (i.e. the number of pathogen genomes) approaches infinity under the multi-population susceptible-infected-recovered model. Simulation analyses indicate that transRate can accurately estimate the transmission rate with a sample size of 200 ~ 400 pathogen genomes. Using transRate, we analyzed 40,028 high-quality sequences of SARS-CoV-2 in human hosts during the early pandemic. Our analysis uncovered significant transmission between populations even before widespread travel restrictions were implemented. The development of transRate provides valuable insights for scientists and public health officials to enhance their understanding of the pandemic's progression and aiding in preparedness for future viral outbreaks. As public databases for genomic sequences continue to expand, transRate is increasingly vital for tracking and mitigating the spread of infectious diseases.

Indexed as

COVID-19PhylogenySARS-CoV-2Communicable DiseasesGenome, ViralHumansPandemicsCOVID-19infectious diseasephylogenetic treeSIR modeltransmission rate

Identifiers

PMID38920346
PMCPMC11200198

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.