Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38918736›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2024

GPT-4 performance on querying scientific publications: reproducibility, accuracy, and impact of an instruction sheet.

Kaiming Tao, Zachary A Osman, Philip L Tzou, Soo-Yon Rhee, Vineet Ahluwalia, Robert W Shafer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Kaiming TaoDivision of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Zachary A OsmanDivision of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Philip L TzouDivision of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Soo-Yon RheeDivision of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Vineet AhluwaliaAphorism Labs, Palo Alto, CA, USA.
Robert W ShaferDivision of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA. rshafer@stanford.edu.

Funding

HIV Drug Resistance DatabaseR24AI136618 · NIAID · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI ROBERT William SHAFER · 2018 to 2026
$7.3M
NIAID NIH HHS R24 AI136618
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLarge language models (LLMs) that can efficiently screen and identify studies meeting specific criteria would streamline literature reviews. Additionally, those capable of extracting data from publications would enhance knowledge discovery by reducing the burden on human reviewers.

methodsWe created an automated pipeline utilizing OpenAI GPT-4 32 K API version "2023-05-15" to evaluate the accuracy of the LLM GPT-4 responses to queries about published papers on HIV drug resistance (HIVDR) with and without an instruction sheet. The instruction sheet contained specialized knowledge designed to assist a person trying to answer questions about an HIVDR paper. We designed 60 questions pertaining to HIVDR and created markdown versions of 60 published HIVDR papers in PubMed. We presented the 60 papers to GPT-4 in four configurations: (1) all 60 questions simultaneously; (2) all 60 questions simultaneously with the instruction sheet; (3) each of the 60 questions individually; and (4) each of the 60 questions individually with the instruction sheet.

resultsGPT-4 achieved a mean accuracy of 86.9% - 24.0% higher than when the answers to papers were permuted. The overall recall and precision were 72.5% and 87.4%, respectively. The standard deviation of three replicates for the 60 questions ranged from 0 to 5.3% with a median of 1.2%. The instruction sheet did not significantly increase GPT-4's accuracy, recall, or precision. GPT-4 was more likely to provide false positive answers when the 60 questions were submitted individually compared to when they were submitted together.

conclusionsGPT-4 reproducibly answered 3600 questions about 60 papers on HIVDR with moderately high accuracy, recall, and precision. The instruction sheet's failure to improve these metrics suggests that more sophisticated approaches are necessary. Either enhanced prompt engineering or finetuning an open-source model could further improve an LLM's ability to answer questions about highly specialized HIVDR papers.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsHumansInformation Storage and RetrievalPublicationsPubMedReproducibility of ResultsSoftwareData extractionGPT-4HIV drug resistanceLarge language modelSystematic review

Identifiers

PMID38918736
PMCPMC11197181

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.