Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38916940›Full record

ArticleJMIR public health and surveillance2024

Ischemic Stroke After Bivalent COVID-19 Vaccination: Self-Controlled Case Series Study.

Stanley Xu, Lina S Sy, Vennis Hong, Kimberly J Holmquist, Lei Qian, Paddy Farrington, Katia J Bruxvoort, Nicola P Klein, Bruce Fireman, Bing Han and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR public health and surveillance, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Stanley XuDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Southern California Permanente Medical Group, Pasadena, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-4750-7672
Lina S SyDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Southern California Permanente Medical Group, Pasadena, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-2762-9266
Vennis HongDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Southern California Permanente Medical Group, Pasadena, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-6060-8419
Kimberly J HolmquistDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Southern California Permanente Medical Group, Pasadena, CA, United States.ORCID 0009-0007-1639-9414
Lei QianDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Southern California Permanente Medical Group, Pasadena, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-8001-3992
Paddy FarringtonSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, The Open University, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-7148-2612
Katia J BruxvoortDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-8277-2431
Nicola P KleinKaiser Permanente Vaccine Study Center, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-1777-4814
Bruce FiremanKaiser Permanente Vaccine Study Center, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-1652-985X
Bing HanDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Southern California Permanente Medical Group, Pasadena, CA, United States.ORCID 0009-0008-0514-7745
Bruno J LewinDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Southern California Permanente Medical Group, Pasadena, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-1483-2791

Funding

A risk-varying and perturbed self-controlled case series design for assessing the safety of COVID-19 vaccines in a large health care systemR01AI168209 · NIAID · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI XU, STANLEY · 2022 to 2025
$2.7M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI168209
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe potential association between bivalent COVID-19 vaccination and ischemic stroke remains uncertain, despite several studies conducted thus far.

objectiveThis study aimed to evaluate the risk of ischemic stroke following bivalent COVID-19 vaccination during the 2022-2023 season.

methodsA self-controlled case series study was conducted among members aged 12 years and older who experienced ischemic stroke between September 1, 2022, and March 31, 2023, in a large health care system. Ischemic strokes were identified using International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes in emergency departments and inpatient settings. Exposures were Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna bivalent COVID-19 vaccination. Risk intervals were prespecified as 1-21 days and 1-42 days after bivalent vaccination; all non-risk-interval person-time served as the control interval. The incidence of ischemic stroke was compared in the risk interval and control interval using conditional Poisson regression. We conducted overall and subgroup analyses by age, history of SARS-CoV-2 infection, and coadministration of influenza vaccine. When an elevated risk was detected, we performed a chart review of ischemic strokes and analyzed the risk of chart-confirmed ischemic stroke.

resultsWith 4933 ischemic stroke events, we found no increased risk within the 21-day risk interval for the 2 vaccines and by subgroups. However, risk of ischemic stroke was elevated within the 42-day risk interval among individuals aged younger than 65 years with coadministration of Pfizer-BioNTech bivalent and influenza vaccines on the same day; the relative incidence (RI) was 2.13 (95% CI 1.01-4.46). Among those who also had a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection, the RI was 3.94 (95% CI 1.10-14.16). After chart review, the RIs were 2.34 (95% CI 0.97-5.65) and 4.27 (95% CI 0.97-18.85), respectively. Among individuals aged younger than 65 years who received Moderna bivalent vaccine and had a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection, the RI was 2.62 (95% CI 1.13-6.03) before chart review and 2.24 (95% CI 0.78-6.47) after chart review. Stratified analyses by sex did not show a significantly increased risk of ischemic stroke after bivalent vaccination.

conclusionsWhile the point estimate for the risk of chart-confirmed ischemic stroke was elevated in a risk interval of 1-42 days among individuals younger than 65 years with coadministration of Pfizer-BioNTech bivalent and influenza vaccines on the same day and among individuals younger than 65 years who received Moderna bivalent vaccine and had a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection, the risk was not statistically significant. The potential association between bivalent vaccination and ischemic stroke in the 1-42-day analysis warrants further investigation among individuals younger than 65 years with influenza vaccine coadministration and prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. Furthermore, the findings on ischemic stroke risk after bivalent COVID-19 vaccination underscore the need to evaluate monovalent COVID-19 vaccine safety during the 2023-2024 season.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesIschemic StrokeAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedYoung AdultCOVID-19 Vaccinesadverseassociationbivalentbivalent COVID-19 vaccinecardiovascularcase seriescoadministrationcorrelationCOVID-19incidenceinfectiousinfluenzainfluenza vaccineischemiaischemicischemic strokerespiratoryriskrisksSARS-CoV-2self-controlled case seriesside effectstrokesubgroup analysessubgroup analysisTIAtransient ischemic attackvaccinationvaccinevaccines

Identifiers

PMID38916940
PMCPMC11234065

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.