Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38916810›Full record

ArticleAdvances in therapy2024

A Simulation Study of the Effect of Clinical Characteristics and Treatment Choice on Reliever Medication Use, Symptom Control and Exacerbation Risk in Moderate-Severe Asthma.

Gabriel Garcia, Sven C van Dijkman, Ian Pavord, Dave Singh, Sean Oosterholt, Sourabh Fulmali, Anurita Majumdar, Oscar Della Pasqua

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Advances in therapy, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Inhaled Corticosteroid/Long-Acting βAdvances in therapy · 2026
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Gabriel GarciaRespiratory Research Center, CEPIR, La Plata, Argentina.
Sven C van DijkmanClinical Pharmacology Modelling and Simulation, GSK, GSK House, 980 Great West Rd, London, TW8 9GS, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2799-7643
Ian PavordNuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4288-5973
Dave SinghUniversity of Manchester, Manchester University NHS Foundations Trust, Manchester, UK.
Sean OosterholtClinical Pharmacology Modelling and Simulation, GSK, GSK House, 980 Great West Rd, London, TW8 9GS, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4346-0088
Sourabh FulmaliGSK, Global Classic and Established Medicines, Singapore, Singapore.
Anurita MajumdarGSK, Global Classic and Established Medicines, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-8047-9378
Oscar Della PasquaClinical Pharmacology Modelling and Simulation, GSK, GSK House, 980 Great West Rd, London, TW8 9GS, UK. odp72514@gsk.com.ORCID 0000-0002-6211-1430

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe relationship between immediate symptom control, reliever medication use and exacerbation risk on treatment response and factors that modify it have not been assessed in an integrated manner. Here we apply simulation scenarios to evaluate the effect of individual baseline characteristics on treatment response in patients with moderate-severe asthma on regular maintenance dosing monotherapy with fluticasone propionate (FP) or combination therapy with fluticasone propionate/salmeterol (FP/SAL) or budesonide/formoterol (BUD/FOR).

methodsReduction in reliever medication use (puffs/24 h), change in symptom control scores (ACQ-5), and annualised exacerbation rate over 12 months were simulated in a cohort of patients with different baseline characteristics (e.g. time since diagnosis, asthma control questionnaire (ACQ-5) symptom score, smoking status, body mass index (BMI) and sex) using drug-disease models derived from large phase III/IV clinical studies.

resultsSimulation scenarios show that being a smoker, having higher baseline ACQ-5 and BMI, and long asthma history is associated with increased reliever medication use (p < 0.01). This increase correlates with a higher exacerbation risk and higher ACQ-5 scores over the course of treatment, irrespective of the underlying maintenance therapy. Switching non-responders to ICS monotherapy to combination therapy after 3 months resulted in immediate reduction in reliever medication use (i.e. 1.3 vs. 1.0 puffs/24 h for FP/SAL and BUD/FOR, respectively). In addition, switching patients with ACQ-5 > 1.5 at baseline to FP/SAL resulted in 34% less exacerbations than those receiving regular dosing BUD/FOR (p < 0.01).

conclusionsWe have identified baseline characteristics of patients with moderate to severe asthma that are associated with greater reliever medication use, poor symptom control and higher exacerbation risk. Moreover, the effects of different inhaled corticosteroid (ICS)/long-acting beta agonist (LABA) combinations vary significantly when considering long-term treatment performance. These factors should be considered in clinical practice as a basis for personalised management of patients with moderate-severe asthma symptoms.

Indexed as

Anti-Asthmatic AgentsAsthmaAdultBronchodilator AgentsBudesonide, Formoterol Fumarate Drug CombinationComputer SimulationDrug Therapy, CombinationFemaleFluticasone-Salmeterol Drug CombinationHumansMaleMiddle AgedSeverity of Illness IndexTreatment OutcomeAnti-Asthmatic AgentsBronchodilator AgentsBudesonide, Formoterol Fumarate Drug CombinationFluticasone-Salmeterol Drug CombinationClinical trial simulationsExacerbationFluticasone propionateICS/LABA combination therapyReliever useSalmeterolShort-acting beta agonistSymptom controlTreatable traits

Identifiers

PMID38916810
PMCPMC11263416

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.