Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38916140›Full record

ArticleNeuro-oncology2024

Genome-wide polygenic risk scores predict risk of glioma and molecular subtypes.

Taishi Nakase, Geno A Guerra, Quinn T Ostrom, Tian Ge, Beatrice S Melin, Margaret Wrensch, John K Wiencke, Robert B Jenkins, Jeanette E Eckel-Passow, Glioma International Case-Control Study (GICC) and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neuro-oncology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. OMT and tensor SVD-based deep learning model for segmentation and predicting genetic markers of glioma: A multicenter study.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Taishi NakaseDepartment of Epidemiology and Population Health, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3078-098X
Geno A GuerraDepartment of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9870-9998
Quinn T OstromDepartment of Neurosurgery, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Tian GePsychiatric and Neurodevelopmental Genetics Unit, Center for Genomic Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Beatrice S MelinDepartment of Diagnostics and Intervention, Oncology Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Margaret WrenschDepartment of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.
John K WienckeDepartment of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.
Robert B JenkinsDepartment of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Jeanette E Eckel-PassowDivision of Biomedical Statistics and Informatics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Glioma International Case-Control Study (GICC)
Melissa L BondyDepartment of Epidemiology and Population Health, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.
Stephen S FrancisDepartment of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.
Linda KachuriDepartment of Epidemiology and Population Health, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3226-4727

Funding

Translational InformaticsP30CA082103 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Kate Taylor Shumate · 1999 to 2026
$209.7M
UCSF CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE INSTITUTEUL1RR024131 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI JOHNSTON, S. CLAIBORNE · 2006 to 2011
$111.2M
Tissue CoreP50CA097257 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Susan M Chang · 2002 to 2026
$57.4M
Targeted MV-CEA as a Potent Antitumor Agent against GBMP50CA108961 · NCI · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI O'NEILL, BRIAN PATRICK · 2004 to 2015
$22.5M
GENETIC EPIDEMIOLOGY OF MALIGNANT GLIOMAR01CA052689 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI WIENCKE, JOHN K., WRENSCH, MARGARET R. · 1991 to 2015
$20.5M
International Case Control Study of Malignant GliomaR01CA139020 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI BONDY, MELISSA L. · 2010 to 2015
$16.0M
Training Program in Translational Brain Tumor ResearchT32CA151022 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Joseph F Costello · 2010 to 2026
$6.6M
Training in Molecular& Genetic Epidemiology of CancerR25CA112355 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI WITTE, JOHN S. · 2005 to 2018
$6.5M
Development of Polygenic Risk Scores for Diabetes and Complications across the Life-Span in Populations of Multiple AncestriesU01HG011723 · NHGRI · BROAD INSTITUTE, INC. · PI Alisa Knodle Manning, Josep Maria Mercader · 2021 to 2026
$5.7M
Leveraging Prospective Cancer Epidemiology Cohorts and Novel Methods to Improve Polygenic Risk ScoresU01CA261339 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI Fei Chen, David V Conti · 2021 to 2026
$5.2M
Characterizing germline and somatic alterations by glioma subtypes and clinical outcomeR01CA232754 · NCI · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI BERNSTEIN, JONINE L., BONDY, MELISSA L. · 2019 to 2023
$5.0M
Integrated Exchange and Storage of Current- and Future-Generation Immunogenomic DataR01AI128775 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI JILL Allison HOLLENBACH, STEVEN JOHN MACK · 2017 to 2026
$4.5M
California Department of Public HealthCDC HHS 5NU58DP006344loglio CollectiveMayo ClinicNational Brain Tumor FoundationNational Brain Tumor SocietyNational Institute of Health CA230712NCATS NIH HHSNCCDPHP CDC HHS NU58DP006344NCI NIH HHS HHSN261201800009CNCI NIH HHS HHSN261201800009INCI NIH HHS HHSN261201800032INCI NIH HHS P30 CA082103NCI NIH HHS P50 CA097257NCI NIH HHS P50 CA108961NCI NIH HHS R00 CA246076NCI NIH HHS R01 CA052689NCI NIH HHS R01 CA126831NCI NIH HHS R01 CA139020NCI NIH HHS R01 CA230712NCI NIH HHS R01 CA232754NCI NIH HHS R01 CA266676NCI NIH HHS R25 CA112355NCI NIH HHS T32 CA151022NCI NIH HHS U01 CA261339NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024131NHGRI NIH HHS U01 HG011723NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI128775NIH HHS T32CA151022Robert Magnin Newman Endowed Chair in Neuro-oncologyStanley D. Lewis, and Virginia S. Lewis Endowed Chair in Brain Tumor ResearchTing Tsung and Wei Fong Chao FoundationUCSF Neurosurgery Tissue BankUS NIH R01CA139020
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPolygenic risk scores (PRS) aggregate the contribution of many risk variants to provide a personalized genetic susceptibility profile. Since sample sizes of glioma genome-wide association studies (GWAS) remain modest, there is a need to efficiently capture genetic risk using available data.

methodsWe applied a method based on continuous shrinkage priors (PRS-CS) to model the joint effects of over 1 million common variants on disease risk and compared this to an approach (PRS-CT) that only selects a limited set of independent variants that reach genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10-8). PRS models were trained using GWAS stratified by histological (10 346 cases and 14 687 controls) and molecular subtype (2632 cases and 2445 controls), and validated in 2 independent cohorts.

resultsPRS-CS was generally more predictive than PRS-CT with a median increase in explained variance (R2) of 24% (interquartile range = 11-30%) across glioma subtypes. Improvements were pronounced for glioblastoma (GBM), with PRS-CS yielding larger odds ratios (OR) per standard deviation (SD) (OR = 1.93, P = 2.0 × 10-54 vs. OR = 1.83, P = 9.4 × 10-50) and higher explained variance (R2 = 2.82% vs. R2 = 2.56%). Individuals in the 80th percentile of the PRS-CS distribution had a significantly higher risk of GBM (0.107%) at age 60 compared to those with average PRS (0.046%, P = 2.4 × 10-12). Lifetime absolute risk reached 1.18% for glioma and 0.76% for IDH wildtype tumors for individuals in the 95th PRS percentile. PRS-CS augmented the classification of IDH mutation status in cases when added to demographic factors (AUC = 0.839 vs. AUC = 0.895, PΔAUC = 6.8 × 10-9).

conclusionsGenome-wide PRS has the potential to enhance the detection of high-risk individuals and help distinguish between prognostic glioma subtypes.

Indexed as

Brain NeoplasmsGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenome-Wide Association StudyGliomaAdultAgedBiomarkers, TumorCase-Control StudiesFemaleGenetic Risk ScoreHumansMaleMiddle AgedMultifactorial InheritancePolymorphism, Single NucleotidePrognosisBiomarkers, Tumorgenetic susceptibilitygliomapolygenic risk score (PRS)predictionrisk

Identifiers

PMID38916140
PMCPMC11448969

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