Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38914710›Full record

ArticleNature ecology & evolution2024

Increasing frequency and intensity of the most extreme wildfires on Earth.

Calum X Cunningham, Grant J Williamson, David M J S Bowman

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature ecology & evolution, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 91 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
91citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

91 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  14. Optimal interventions to curb urban conflagration.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  15. Atmospheric stressors and kidney diseases.Nature reviews. Nephrology · 2026
    Review
  16. Egress thresholds and wildfire fatalities.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  17. Article
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31 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Calum X CunninghamFire Centre, School of Natural Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia. calum.cunningham@utas.edu.au.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1640-2533
Grant J WilliamsonFire Centre, School of Natural Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3469-7550
David M J S BowmanFire Centre, School of Natural Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8075-124X

Funding

Department of Education and Training | Australian Research Council (ARC) FL220100099
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is exacerbating wildfire conditions, but evidence is lacking for global trends in extreme fire activity itself. Here we identify energetically extreme wildfire events by calculating daily clusters of summed fire radiative power using 21 years of satellite data, revealing that the frequency of extreme events (≥99.99th percentile) increased by 2.2-fold from 2003 to 2023, with the last 7 years including the 6 most extreme. Although the total area burned on Earth may be declining, our study highlights that fire behaviour is worsening in several regions-particularly the boreal and temperate conifer biomes-with substantial implications for carbon storage and human exposure to wildfire disasters.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeWildfiresEarth, PlanetFires

Identifiers

PMID38914710

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.