Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38914583›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

The effect of mobility reductions on infection growth is quadratic in many cases.

Sydney Paltra, Inan Bostanci, Kai Nagel

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Mechanics of pandemics.EClinicalMedicine · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Sydney PaltraTechnische Universität Berlin, FG Verkehrssystemplanung und Verkehrstelematik, 10623, Berlin, Germany. paltra@tu-berlin.de.
Inan BostanciZuse Institute Berlin, 14195, Berlin, Germany.
Kai NagelTechnische Universität Berlin, FG Verkehrssystemplanung und Verkehrstelematik, 10623, Berlin, Germany.

Funding

Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung 031L0300DBundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung 031L0302C
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Stay-at-home orders were introduced in many countries during the COVID-19 pandemic, limiting the time people spent outside their home and the attendance of gatherings. In this study, we argue from a theoretical model that in many cases the effect of such stay-at-home orders on incidence growth should be quadratic, and that this statement should also hold beyond COVID-19. That is, a reduction of the out-of-home duration to, say, 70% of its original value should reduce incidence growth and thus the effective R-value to

Indexed as

COVID-19PandemicsSARS-CoV-2HumansIncidenceModels, TheoreticalQuarantine

Identifiers

PMID38914583
PMCPMC11196635

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.