Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38914573›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Projected loss of brown macroalgae and seagrasses with global environmental change.

Federica Manca, Lisandro Benedetti-Cecchi, Corey J A Bradshaw, Mar Cabeza, Camilla Gustafsson, Alf M Norkko, Tomas V Roslin, David N Thomas, Lydia White, Giovanni Strona

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Federica MancaFaculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, PO Box 65, Viikinkaari 1, 00014, Helsinki, Finland. federica.manca@helsinki.fi.ORCID 0000-0001-5680-9632
Lisandro Benedetti-CecchiDepartment of Biology, University of Pisa, CoNISMa, Via Derna 1, Pisa, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5244-5202
Corey J A BradshawGlobal Ecology | Partuyarta Ngadluku Wardli Kuu, College of Science and Engineering, Flinders University, Adelaide, SA, 5001, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-5328-7741
Mar CabezaFaculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, PO Box 65, Viikinkaari 1, 00014, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-7410-7631
Camilla GustafssonTvärminne Zoological Station, University of Helsinki, J.A. Palménin tie 260, 10900, Hanko, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-7308-3802
Alf M NorkkoTvärminne Zoological Station, University of Helsinki, J.A. Palménin tie 260, 10900, Hanko, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-9741-4458
Tomas V RoslinDepartment of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Ulls väg 16, 756 51, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-2957-4791
David N ThomasFaculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, PO Box 65, Viikinkaari 1, 00014, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-8832-5907
Lydia WhiteTvärminne Zoological Station, University of Helsinki, J.A. Palménin tie 260, 10900, Hanko, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-7531-5168
Giovanni StronaEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy. giovanni.strona@ec.europa.eu.ORCID 0000-0003-2294-4013

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Although many studies predict extensive future biodiversity loss and redistribution in the terrestrial realm, future changes in marine biodiversity remain relatively unexplored. In this work, we model global shifts in one of the most important marine functional groups-ecosystem-structuring macrophytes-and predict substantial end-of-century change. By modelling the future distribution of 207 brown macroalgae and seagrass species at high temporal and spatial resolution under different climate-change projections, we estimate that by 2100, local macrophyte diversity will decline by 3-4% on average, with 17 to 22% of localities losing at least 10% of their macrophyte species. The current range of macrophytes will be eroded by 5-6%, and highly suitable macrophyte habitat will be substantially reduced globally (78-96%). Global macrophyte habitat will shift among marine regions, with a high potential for expansion in polar regions.

Indexed as

BiodiversityClimate ChangeEcosystemPhaeophyceaeSeaweed

Identifiers

PMID38914573
PMCPMC11196678

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.