Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38913721›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2024

Challenges in clinical diagnosis of Clade I Mpox: Highlighting the need for enhanced diagnostic approaches.

Josephine Bourner, Esteban Garcia-Gallo, Festus Mbrenga, Yap Boum, Emmanuel Nakouné, Amy Paterson, Benjamin Jones, Piero Olliaro, Amanda Rojek

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
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  5. Clinical Characterization and Outcomes of Human Clade IIb Mpox Virus Disease: A European Multicenter Mpox Observational Cohort Study (MOSAIC).Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
    Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Josephine BournerISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-4687-8380
Esteban Garcia-GalloISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Festus MbrengaInstitut Pasteur de Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic.
Yap BoumInstitut Pasteur de Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic.
Emmanuel NakounéInstitut Pasteur de Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic.
Amy PatersonISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Benjamin JonesISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Piero OlliaroISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Amanda RojekISARIC, Pandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDue to limited diagnostic capacity and availability of point-of-care tests, diagnosis of Clade I mpox in the geographical regions most affected is usually on clinical grounds. This may be complicated due to the similarity between mpox and varicella (chickenpox) lesions. Visual assessment of lesions is also used for determining clinical progress and to assess patient outcomes in clinical trials. However, there has been no investigation into whether clinicians can (i) identify Clade I mpox compared to other viral lesions (ii) differentiate between Clade I mpox lesion stages. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPLE

findingsThe objective of this study was to evaluate inter-rater reliability and agreement between clinicians assessing lesions in patients with Clade I mpox. We presented experienced clinicians with 17 images of Clade I mpox or varicella and asked them to independently indicate the most likely diagnosis-mpox or varicella-and to categorise the lesions according to their stage. When selecting the most likely diagnosis, accuracy varied across all images, the inter-rater reliability was poor (κ = 0.223; z = 10.1) and agreement was moderate (Po = 68%). When categorising lesions according to their type, if a single lesion type was present in the image, inter-rater reliability was moderate (κ = 0.671, z = 40.6) and agreement was good (Po = 78%), but when multiple lesion types were shown in an image, both inter-rater reliability (κ = 0.153, z = 10.5) and agreement (Po = 29%) decreased substantially.

conclusionsThis study demonstrates that there are presently limitations in using visual assessment to diagnose Clade I mpox and evaluate lesion stage and treatment outcomes, which have an impact on clinical practice, public health and clinical trials. More robust indicators and tools are required to inform clinical, public-health, and research priorities, but these must be implementable in countries affected by mpox.

Indexed as

ChickenpoxHumansMpox, MonkeypoxReproducibility of Results

Identifiers

PMID38913721
PMCPMC11226010

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.